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Villareal vs. Granada Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Villareal vs. Granada at the La Liga on March 3, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Granada
1
5
Mar 3, 1PM Estadio de la CerĂ¡mica (Villarreal)
Villareal
Mar 3, 1PM Estadio de la CerĂ¡mica (Villarreal)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
VillarealVIL
Score Summary
GranadaGCF
A. Sorloth (7')
Soccer ball icon
A. Sorloth (19')
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E. Capoue (32')
Soccer ball icon
G. Guedes (47')
Soccer ball icon
A. Sorloth (66')
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T. Corbeanu (90')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
VIL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
GCF
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Granada CF by T. Corbeanu
1-5
84'
Yellow Card
E. Capoue (Villarreal) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Granada CF: K. Jozwiak replaces F. Pellistri
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Granada CF: A. Puertas replaces L. Boye
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Granada CF: O. Melendo replaces G. Villar
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: J. L. Morales replaces B. Traore
70'
Yellow Card
R. Sanchez (Granada CF) cautioned
66'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Villarreal by A. Sorloth, assisted by D. Parejo
0-5
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Granada CF: T. Corbeanu replaces M. Hongla
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Granada CF: Bruno Mendez replaces K. Piatkowski
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: M. Trigueros replaces A. Baena
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: S. Lekovic replaces A. Mandi
47'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Villarreal by G. Guedes, assisted by A. Baena
0-4
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: A. Mandi replaces E. Bailly
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: G. Guedes replaces G. Moreno
32'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Villarreal by E. Capoue, assisted by D. Parejo
0-3
19'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Villarreal by A. Sorloth, assisted by D. Parejo
0-2
15'
Yellow Card
K. Piatkowski (Granada CF) cautioned
7'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Villarreal by A. Sorloth
0-1

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Villareal vs. Granada: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Villareal vs. Granada prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Villareal vs. Granada
  • Date: Sunday, March 3, 2024
  • Time: 8:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de la CerĂ¡mica
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Villareal -140, Granada +390, draw +310
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+124)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Villareal: 53.9%
  • Granada: 23.3%
  • Draw: 22.9%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Villareal 1-1 Granada, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Villareal is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 53.9% probability, while Granada sits at 23.3%, with the draw at 22.9%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Villareal vs. Granada prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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