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Valencia vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Valencia vs. Real Madrid at the La Liga on March 2, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Real Madrid
2
:
2
Mar 2, 8PM Estadio de Mestalla (Valencia)
Valencia
Mar 2, 8PM Estadio de Mestalla (Valencia)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ValenciaVCF
Score Summary
Real MadridRMA
H. Duro (27')
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R. Yaremchuk (30')
Soccer ball icon
Vinicius Junior (45')
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Vinicius Junior (76')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
VCF
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
RMA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: C. Ozkacar replaces M. Diakhaby
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: N. Fernandez replaces F. Valverde
83'
Yellow Card
M. Diakhaby (Valencia) cautioned
80'
Yellow Card
F. Valverde (Real Madrid) cautioned
76'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by Vinicius Junior, assisted by B. Diaz
2-2
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: F. Garcia replaces F. Mendy
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: Joselu replaces E. Camavinga
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: P. Gonzalez replaces F. Perez
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: S. Amallah replaces J. Guerra
72'
Yellow Card
Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid) cautioned
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: B. Diaz replaces Rodrygo
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: L. Modric replaces T. Kroos
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: D. Lopez replaces R. Yaremchuk
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: H. Guillamon replaces S. Canos
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by Vinicius Junior, assisted by Rodrygo
1-2
30'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Valencia by R. Yaremchuk
0-2
27'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Valencia by H. Duro, assisted by F. Perez
0-1
4'
Yellow Card
R. Yaremchuk (Valencia) cautioned

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Valencia vs. Real Madrid: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Valencia vs. Real Madrid prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Valencia vs. Real Madrid
  • Date: Saturday, March 2, 2024
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de Mestalla
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Valencia +480, Real Madrid -157, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+100/-110)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Valencia: 20.9%
  • Real Madrid: 54.6%
  • Draw: 24.5%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Valencia 0-1 Real Madrid, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Valencia is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 20.9% probability, while Real Madrid sits at 54.6%, with the draw at 24.5%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Valencia vs. Real Madrid prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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