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Sevilla vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Sevilla vs. Athletic Bilbao at the La Liga on January 4, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
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Jan 4, 6:15PM Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán (Sevilla)
Jan 4, 6:15PM Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán (Sevilla)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
M. Vesga (30')
A. Paredes (76')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
R. Garcia (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
Marcao (Sevilla) cautioned
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Ares replaces N. Williams
Substitution for Sevilla: Marcao replaces A. Pedrosa
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by A. Paredes, assisted by A. Herrera
2-0
I. Rakitic (Sevilla) cautioned
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: R. Garcia replaces G. Guruzeta
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: U. Gomez replaces M. Vesga
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: B. Prados Diaz replaces O. Sancet
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Herrera replaces I. Ruiz de Galarreta
Substitution for Sevilla: O. Torres replaces D. Sow
Substitution for Sevilla: A. Januzaj replaces L. Bade
Substitution for Sevilla: T. Nianzou replaces J. Sanchez
Substitution for Sevilla: I. Rakitic replaces N. Gudelj
D. Sow (Sevilla) cautioned
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by M. Vesga, assisted by I. Ruiz de Galarreta
1-0
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Sevilla vs. Athletic Bilbao: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Sevilla vs. Athletic Bilbao prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Sevilla vs. Athletic Bilbao
- Date: Thursday, January 4, 2024
- Time: 1:15 PM ET
- Venue: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
- Tournament: La Liga
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Sevilla +210, Athletic Bilbao +143, draw +220
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+108/-130)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Sevilla: 34.2%
- Athletic Bilbao: 38.5%
- Draw: 27.3%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Sevilla 1-1 Athletic Bilbao, with a probability of 13%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Sevilla is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 34.2% probability, while Athletic Bilbao sits at 38.5%, with the draw at 27.3%.
For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Sevilla vs. Athletic Bilbao prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.
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