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Brighton vs. Chelsea Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Brighton vs. Chelsea at the Premier League on May 15, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Chelsea
2
1
May 15, 6:45PM American Express Stadium (Falmer, East Sussex)
Brighton
May 15, 6:45PM American Express Stadium (Falmer, East Sussex)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
BrightonBHA
Score Summary
ChelseaCFC
D. Welbeck (90')
Soccer ball icon
C. Palmer (34')
Soccer ball icon
C. Nkunku (64')
Soccer ball icon
R. James (88')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
BHA
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
CFC
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: T. Silva replaces N. Jackson
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Brighton by D. Welbeck, assisted by Joao Pedro
2-1
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: L. Ugochukwu replaces C. Gallagher
88'
Red Card
R. James (Chelsea) sent off with a straight red card
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: O. Offiah replaces T. Lamptey
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: A. Fati replaces J. Enciso
81'
Yellow Card
B. Verbruggen (Brighton) cautioned
79'
Yellow Card
M. Caicedo (Chelsea) cautioned
77'
Yellow Card
R. Sterling (Chelsea) cautioned
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: D. Welbeck replaces F. Buonanotte
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: C. Baleba replaces B. Gilmour
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: R. James replaces M. Gusto
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: R. Sterling replaces N. Madueke
64'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chelsea by C. Nkunku, assisted by M. Gusto
2-0
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: V. Barco replaces L. Dunk
42'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: C. Nkunku replaces M. Mudryk
34'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chelsea by C. Palmer, assisted by M. Cucurella
1-0
29'
Yellow Card
L. Dunk (Brighton) cautioned

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Brighton vs. Chelsea: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Brighton vs. Chelsea prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Brighton vs. Chelsea
  • Date: Wednesday, May 15, 2024
  • Time: 2:45 PM ET
  • Venue: American Express Stadium
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Brighton +240, Chelsea +106, draw +310

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Brighton: 29.0%
  • Chelsea: 49.0%
  • Draw: 22.0%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Brighton 1-1 Chelsea, with a probability of 9%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Brighton is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 29.0% probability, while Chelsea sits at 49.0%, with the draw at 22.0%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Brighton vs. Chelsea prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

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