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Manchester United vs. Newcastle Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Manchester United vs. Newcastle at the Premier League on May 15, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
2
3
May 15, 7PM Old Trafford (Manchester)
May 15, 7PM Old Trafford (Manchester)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
K. Mainoo (31')
A. Diallo (57')
R. Hojlund (84')
A. Gordon (49')
L. Hall (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for Manchester Utd: C. Eriksen replaces B. Fernandes
Goal scored for Newcastle by L. Hall
2-3
S. Amrabat (Manchester Utd) cautioned
Goal scored for Manchester Utd by R. Hojlund, assisted by B. Fernandes
1-3
Substitution for Manchester Utd: M. Rashford replaces A. Garnacho
Substitution for Manchester Utd: L. Martinez replaces K. Mainoo
Substitution for Manchester Utd: R. Hojlund replaces A. Diallo
A. Diallo (Manchester Utd) cautioned
F. Schar (Newcastle) cautioned
Substitution for Newcastle: H. Barnes replaces S. Longstaff
A. Gordon (Newcastle) cautioned
Substitution for Newcastle: F. Schar replaces K. Trippier
Casemiro (Manchester Utd) cautioned
Substitution for Newcastle: Joelinton replaces E. Anderson
Substitution for Newcastle: M. Almiron replaces J. Murphy
Goal scored for Manchester Utd by A. Diallo
1-2
Goal scored for Newcastle by A. Gordon, assisted by J. Murphy
1-1
E. Anderson (Newcastle) cautioned
Goal scored for Manchester Utd by K. Mainoo, assisted by A. Diallo
0-1
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Manchester United vs. Newcastle: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Manchester United vs. Newcastle prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Manchester United vs. Newcastle
- Date: Wednesday, May 15, 2024
- Time: 3:00 PM ET
- Venue: Old Trafford
- Tournament: Premier League
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Manchester United +180, Newcastle +140, draw +310
Dimers' win probabilities
- Manchester United: 37.9%
- Newcastle: 39.5%
- Draw: 22.6%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Manchester United 1-1 Newcastle, with a probability of 10%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Manchester United is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 37.9% probability, while Newcastle sits at 39.5%, with the draw at 22.6%.
For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Manchester United vs. Newcastle prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.
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