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Philadelphia vs. NY City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Philadelphia vs. NY City at the MLS on May 27, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Philadelphia
3
1
May 27, 11:30PM Citi Field (New York, New York)
NY City
May 27, 11:30PM Citi Field (New York, New York)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NY CityNYC
Score Summary
PhiladelphiaPHI
Gabriel Pereira (30')
Soccer ball icon
J. Carranza (45')
Soccer ball icon
J. Carranza (45')
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D. Gazdag (pen.) (53')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NYC
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
PHI
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: C. Donovan replaces J. Carranza
86'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: B. E. Cufre replaces T. Gray
83'
Yellow Card
J. Bueno (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Bueno replaces M. Uhre
69'
Yellow Card
M. Uhre (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
62'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: G. Segal replaces A. Jasson
62'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: Talles Magno replaces R. Ledezma
61'
Yellow Card
K. O'Toole (New York City) cautioned
55'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: J. Alfaro replaces Thiago Martins
53'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by D. Gazdag (pen.)
3-1
52'
Yellow Card
Thiago Martins (New York City) cautioned
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by J. Carranza, assisted by J. Elliott
1-1
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by J. Carranza
2-1
38'
Yellow Card
T. Gray (New York City) cautioned
30'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York City by Gabriel Pereira
0-1
29'
Yellow Card
J. Glesnes (Philadelphia Union) cautioned

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Philadelphia vs. NY City: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Philadelphia vs. NY City prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Philadelphia vs. NY City
  • Date: Saturday, May 27, 2023
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Citi Field
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Philadelphia +185, NY City +145, draw +220
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+112/-138)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Philadelphia: 37.4%
  • NY City: 35.2%
  • Draw: 27.4%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Philadelphia 1-1 NY City, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Philadelphia is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 37.4% probability, while NY City sits at 35.2%, with the draw at 27.4%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Philadelphia vs. NY City prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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