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Necaxa vs. Santos Laguna Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Necaxa vs. Santos Laguna at the Liga MX on September 24, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LIGA MX
Necaxa
5
2
Sep 25, 2:05AM Estadio Nuevo Corona (Torreón)
Santos Laguna
Sep 25, 2:05AM Estadio Nuevo Corona (Torreón)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Santos LagunaSAN
Score Summary
NecaxaNEC
H. Preciado (69')
Soccer ball icon
H. Preciado (pen.) (83')
Soccer ball icon
A. Andrade (32')
Soccer ball icon
R. Monreal (49')
Soccer ball icon
A. Andrade (52')
Soccer ball icon
F. Arce (64')
Soccer ball icon
A. Pena (67')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SAN
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
NEC
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
83'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Santos Laguna by H. Preciado (pen.)
5-2
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Santos Laguna: R. Prieto replaces O. Campos
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Santos Laguna: J. A. Ocejo Zazueta replaces D. Vergara
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: R. Cortez replaces H. Jurado
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: D. Mantilla replaces F. Batista
69'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Santos Laguna by H. Preciado, assisted by S. Munoz
5-1
67'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Necaxa by A. Pena, assisted by H. Jurado
5-0
64'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Necaxa by F. Arce, assisted by R. Monreal
4-0
53'
Substitution
Substitution for Santos Laguna: R. Lopez replaces I. Govea
53'
Substitution
Substitution for Santos Laguna: S. Munoz replaces P. Aquino
52'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Necaxa by A. Andrade, assisted by R. Monreal
3-0
49'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Necaxa by R. Monreal, assisted by F. Batista
2-0
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Santos Laguna: D. Medina replaces E. Rodriguez
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: E. Unsain replaces R. Gudino
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: R. Monreal replaces E. Mendez
32'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Necaxa by A. Andrade, assisted by H. Jurado
1-0
25'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: A. Montes replaces Jhon Chancellor

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Necaxa vs. Santos Laguna: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Necaxa vs. Santos Laguna prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Necaxa vs. Santos Laguna
  • Date: Sunday, September 24, 2023
  • Time: 10:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nuevo Corona
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Necaxa +550, Santos Laguna -220, draw +410

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Necaxa: 17.3%
  • Santos Laguna: 62.5%
  • Draw: 20.3%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Necaxa 1-2 Santos Laguna, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Necaxa is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 17.3% probability, while Santos Laguna sits at 62.5%, with the draw at 20.3%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Necaxa vs. Santos Laguna prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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