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Queretaro vs. Cruz Azul Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Queretaro vs. Cruz Azul at the Liga MX on September 24, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LIGA MX
Queretaro
3
1
Sep 24, 10PM Estadio Azteca (Ciudad de México (D.F.))
Cruz Azul
Sep 24, 10PM Estadio Azteca (Ciudad de México (D.F.))
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Cruz AzulCRA
Score Summary
QueretaroQUT
C. Rotondi (45')
Soccer ball icon
R. Sandoval (50')
Soccer ball icon
J. Zuniga (77')
Soccer ball icon
N. Cordero (87')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CRA
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
QUT
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
E. Gularte (Queretaro) cautioned
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: R. Huescas replaces W. Ditta
87'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Queretaro by N. Cordero, assisted by J. Zuniga
3-1
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: A. Garcia replaces P. Barrera
78'
Yellow Card
J. Zuniga (Queretaro) cautioned
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: R. Guerrero replaces C. Salcedo
77'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Queretaro by J. Zuniga, assisted by P. Barrera
2-1
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. H. Gutierrez Torres replaces C. Rodriguez
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Sepulveda replaces Moises
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: J. Sierra replaces R. Sandoval
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Queretaro: N. Cordero replaces E. Ayon
50'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Queretaro by R. Sandoval
1-1
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by C. Rotondi, assisted by Moises
0-1
33'
Yellow Card
F. Lertora (Queretaro) cautioned
29'
Yellow Card
C. Rotondi (Cruz Azul) cautioned

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Queretaro vs. Cruz Azul: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Queretaro vs. Cruz Azul prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Queretaro vs. Cruz Azul
  • Date: Sunday, September 24, 2023
  • Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Azteca
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Queretaro +410, Cruz Azul -150, draw +285
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-118/-110)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Queretaro: 21.5%
  • Cruz Azul: 53.6%
  • Draw: 24.8%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Queretaro 0-1 Cruz Azul, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Queretaro is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 21.5% probability, while Cruz Azul sits at 53.6%, with the draw at 24.8%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Queretaro vs. Cruz Azul prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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