Jun 25, 2026
World Cup bets today: 11 group stage picks for Thursday ft. the Netherlands vs. Tunisia [6/25/2026]
Read Article World Cup player props today: Thursday's group stage props include Weston McKennie [6/25/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get World Cup player props today with projections for Thursday's games.
Dimers' World Cup props are live for June 25, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Weston McKennie, Ellyes Skhiri and Omar Rekik.
Our World Cup player props model runs continuously, analyzing every international soccer matchup, including Côte d'Ivoire vs. Curaçao and Germany vs. Ecuador, to surface the best World Cup player prop bets across the market.
List of World Cup prop picks for Thursday, 6/25 [Group Stage]
Below are today's top 10 player props, ranked by their edge against the odds. By factoring in opponent strength and specific roles within the team, our data evaluates every player on the pitch to identify high-value opportunities beyond just the star names.
Weston McKennie over 0.5 shots on target (+210)
- Edge: 7.0%
- Probability: 39.2%
- Game: Türkiye vs. United States (10:00PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on United States Weston McKennie over 0.5 shots on target. A probability of 39.2% gives this play an edge of 7.0% at +210 odds.
Ellyes Skhiri over 0.5 shots (+260)
- Edge: 2.6%
- Probability: 30.4%
- Game: Tunisia vs. the Netherlands (7:00PM ET)
Ellyes Skhiri’s shots prop shows a 30.4% probability and an 2.6% edge at +260 odds, according to our model.
Omar Rekik over 0.5 shots (+380)
- Edge: 1.2%
- Probability: 22.0%
- Game: Tunisia vs. the Netherlands (7:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on Omar Rekik over 0.5 shots, with simulations showing a 22.0% probability and a 1.2% edge at +380.
Koki Ogawa over 1.5 shots on target (+360)
- Edge: 0.1%
- Probability: 21.9%
- Game: Japan vs. Sweden (7:00PM ET)
Our model finds value on Koki Ogawa over 1.5 shots on target, with a 21.9% probability and an edge of 0.1% at +360 odds.
Tahith Chong over 0.5 shots on target (+450)
- Edge: 3.4%
- Probability: 21.6%
- Game: Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire (4:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Tahith Chong over 0.5 shots on target for Curaçao, showing an edge of 3.4% at +450 odds.
Hannibal over 0.5 shots on target (+480)
- Edge: 4.2%
- Probability: 21.4%
- Game: Tunisia vs. the Netherlands (7:00PM ET)
Hannibal’s shots on target prop shows an edge of 4.2% at +480 odds, supported by a 21.4% probability according to our model.
Gabriel Gudmundsson over 1.5 shots (+800)
- Edge: 6.9%
- Probability: 18.1%
- Game: Japan vs. Sweden (7:00PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Gabriel Gudmundsson over 1.5 shots for Sweden, with a 18.1% probability and a 6.9% edge at +800 odds.
Ibrahim Sangare anytime goal scorer (+600)
- Edge: 2.8%
- Probability: 17.0%
- Game: Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire (4:00PM ET)
The data shows value on Ibrahim Sangare anytime goal scorer, supported by a 17.0% probability at +600 odds and an edge of 2.8%.
Ali El Abdi over 0.5 shots on target (+575)
- Edge: 1.4%
- Probability: 16.2%
- Game: Tunisia vs. the Netherlands (7:00PM ET)
A 1.4% edge on the Shots on Target 0.5 shots on target line makes Ali El Abdi a value play in , supported by a 16.2% probability at +575 odds.
Sergino Dest anytime goal scorer (+650)
- Edge: 2.4%
- Probability: 15.8%
- Game: Türkiye vs. the Netherlands (10:00PM ET)
Simulations show value on Sergino Dest anytime goal scorer here, with a 15.8% probability and 2.4% edge at +650 odds.
World Cup player prop summary: Thursday, June 25, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 2:15AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Türkiye vs. United States | Weston McKennie over 0.5 shots on target | +210 @ BetRivers | 7.0% | 39.2% |
| Tunisia vs. the Netherlands | Ellyes Skhiri over 0.5 shots | +260 @ FanDuel | 2.6% | 30.4% |
| Tunisia vs. the Netherlands | Omar Rekik over 0.5 shots | +380 @ FanDuel | 0.1% | 21.9% |
| Japan vs. Sweden | Koki Ogawa over 1.5 shots on target | +360 @ BetRivers | 0.1% | 21.9% |
| Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire | Tahith Chong over 0.5 shots on target | +450 @ espnbet | 3.4% | 21.6% |
| Tunisia vs. the Netherlands | Hannibal over 0.5 shots on target | +480 @ BetRivers | 4.2% | 21.4% |
| Japan vs. Sweden | Gabriel Gudmundsson over 1.5 shots | +800 @ BetMGM | 6.9% | 18.1% |
| Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire | Ibrahim Sangare anytime goal scorer | +600 @ Fanatics | 2.8% | 17.0% |
| Tunisia vs. the Netherlands | Ali El Abdi over 0.5 shots on target | +575 @ BetRivers | 1.4% | 16.2% |
| Türkiye vs. United States | Sergino Dest anytime goal scorer | +650 @ Fanatics | 2.4% | 15.8% |
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Conclusion
For June 25, 2026, our World Cup prop bets feature players such as Weston McKennie, Ellyes Skhiri and Omar Rekik. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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