World Cup bets today: Six group stage picks for Thursday ft. the Netherlands vs. Tunisia [6/25/2026]
Get soccer World Cup picks today and best bets for Thursday, June 25, 2026.
Today’s World Cup betting tips for June 25, 2026 are here, with the Netherlands vs. Tunisia and Australia vs. Paraguay among the top plays identified by our model across Thursday’s group stage play.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, going over the latest soccer odds to discover real betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of soccer World Cup picks today [6/25, updated 3:14AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s best World Cup bets, ranked by edge for Thursday, June 25, 2026.
the Netherlands vs. Tunisia BTTS: Yes (+200)
- Edge: 10.2%
- Probability: 43.5%
- Matchup: the Netherlands vs. Tunisia (7:00PM ET)
Our model has identified value on both the Netherlands and Australia to score (Yes) at +200 odds. A 43.5% probability produces an edge of 10.2%, making this the strongest play for today's World Cup slate.
Australia ML (+320)
- Edge: 6.6%
- Probability: 30.4%
- Matchup: Australia vs. Paraguay (10:00PM ET)
Australia ML carries a 6.6% edge and a probability of 30.4% at +320 odds, according to our model.
Sweden vs. Japan Over 2.5 goals (-115)
- Edge: 4.7%
- Probability: 58.2%
- Matchup: Sweden vs. Japan (7:00PM ET)
Sweden vs. Japan Over 2.5 goals at -115 odds shows a 4.7% edge, supported by a 58.2% probability in simulations.
Double chance: Curaçao or draw (+490)
- Edge: 3.3%
- Probability: 20.2%
- Matchup: Côte d'Ivoire vs. Curaçao (4:00PM ET)
A 3.3% edge and 20.2% probability makes Côte d'Ivoire at the moneyline a value play in the Côte d'Ivoire vs. Curaçao matchup, per our model.
Sweden ML (+350)
- Edge: 2.6%
- Probability: 24.9%
- Matchup: Sweden vs. Japan (7:00PM ET)
Sweden ML at +350 odds presents a 2.6% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 24.9%.
Germany vs. Ecuador Under 2.5 goals (+130)
- Edge: 2.3%
- Probability: 45.8%
- Matchup: Germany vs. Ecuador (4:00PM ET)
Our model finds value on Under 2.5 goals in Germany vs. Ecuador at +130 odds, supported by an edge of 2.3%.
World Cup group stage best bets summary: Thursday, 6/25/2026
As of 3:14AM ET, here are our top World Cup bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| the Netherlands vs. Tunisia | BTTS (Yes) | +200 @ BetMGM | 10.2% | 43.5% |
| Australia vs. Paraguay | Australia ML | +320 @ BetRivers | 6.6% | 30.4% |
| Sweden vs. Japan | Over 2.5 Goals | -115 @ DraftKings | 4.7% | 58.2% |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Curaçao | Double chance: Curaçao or draw | +490 @ FanDuel | 3.3% | 20.2% |
| Sweden vs. Japan | Sweden ML | +350 @ DraftKings | 2.6% | 24.9% |
| Germany vs. Ecuador | Under 2.5 Goals | +130 @ DraftKings | 2.3% | 45.8% |
List of upcoming World Cup games to bet on [6/25/2026]
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Curaçao (4:00PM ET, Thursday)
- Germany vs. Ecuador (4:00PM ET, Thursday)
- Sweden vs. Japan (7:00PM ET, Thursday)
- Netherlands vs. Tunisia (7:00PM ET, Thursday)
- Australia vs. Paraguay (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
- United States vs. Türkiye (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
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Conclusion
Our World Cup best bets are locked and loaded for June 25, 2026, featuring plays such as the Netherlands and Tunisia to both score (Yes) and Australia ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
