South Africa vs. South Korea prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]
Get South Africa vs South Korea predictions for World Cup 2026 Wednesday.

South Africa will take on South Korea in Group A of the World Cup 2026 at Estadio BBVA on Wednesday, beginning at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven World Cup 2026 model projects South Korea as the most likely winner of the South Africa vs. South Korea game.
Part of our comprehensive World Cup coverage, this article offers a closer look at Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
South Africa vs. South Korea prediction: Who will win?
Our independent predictive model indicates a 17.2% chance of South Africa winning, a 58.8% chance for South Korea, and a 24.1% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 55.7% chance of staying under, with a 56.1% likelihood of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, South Korea holds a 37.3% probability to win without conceding, with South Africa given a 10.1% chance.
For bettors looking to cover multiple outcomes, the most likely double chance result is South Korea to win or draw at 82.8%.
South Korea vs. South Africa odds
We have researched the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| South Africa | South Korea | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +500 | -160 | +300 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +102 | -124 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
South Africa vs. South Korea picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: South Africa @ +500 via DraftKings
- Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ -124 via FanDuel
- Win to Nil: South Africa @ +700 via BetMGM
- Double Chance: South Africa or Draw @ +130 via FanDuel
- Both Teams To Score: No @ -130 via DraftKings
According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is South Africa to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Although they are not the most likely winner of the match, the edge provided on South Africa's odds provide the best value right now.
South Africa vs. South Korea: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 South Korea win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| South Africa 0-1 South Korea | 14.4% |
| South Africa 0-2 South Korea | 12.1% |
| South Africa 1-1 South Korea | 11.2% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 43.9% chance of both sides finding the net and a 56.1% chance that at least one doesn’t.
South Africa vs. South Korea player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions
Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Wednesday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in South Africa-South Korea:
South Africa
- Evidence Makgopa: 14.1% probability
- Oswin Appollis: 12.2% probability
- Thapelo Maseko: 10.0% probability
- Jayden Adams: 5.7% probability
- Thalente Mbatha: 5.6% probability
South Korea
- Son Heung-Min: 38.0% probability
- Lee Kang-in: 21.8% probability
- Lee Jae-Sung: 17.7% probability
- Hwang In-beom: 12.0% probability
- Paik Seung-Ho: 10.5% probability
South Africa vs. South Korea game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's soccer World Cup matchup between South Africa and South Korea at Estadio BBVA is scheduled to begin at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: South Africa vs. South Korea
- Date: Wednesday, June 24, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio BBVA
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, South Africa has a 17.2% win probability on Wednesday, South Korea has a 58.8% win probability, and there is a 24.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.



