World Cup odds today: Soccer betting cheat sheet [July 11]

After more than four weeks of thrilling matches, the soccer World Cup 2026 has reached the Quarterfinals stage. Today, we have another two sudden death showdowns on the World Cup schedule, and this betting odds preview is designed to help you navigate Saturday's matches using Dimers' data-driven World Cup predictions on July 11.

Today's Quarterfinal matchups feature England vs. Norway at 5pm, and Argentina vs. Switzerland at 9pm.

Thanks to DraftKings Sportsbook, we've broken down both of Saturday's Quarterfinal matchups below in our World Cup betting preview, with everything you need to know about the teams, the players, the probabilities, the most likely score lines, as well as the sharpest player props for Saturday's two World Cup fixtures.

Today's World Cup 2026 odds - July 11

Dimers' World Cup 2026 odds refer to the Quarterfinals forecasts and statistical projections made by our team of data scientists regarding the outcomes of not only these matches on Saturday, July 12, but also the ultimate winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. These predictions for the 2026 World Cup are generated by highly sophisticated machine learning models that analyze historical odds, data sets, player-specific performance metrics, and team-level compositions that delivered some outstanding betting results.

England vs. Norway odds, picks and predictions

Kickoff: July 11, 4pm (ET)

The high-stakes Quarterfinals action shifts to Saturday with a highly anticipated, all-European blockbuster to open the weekend slate. Both England and Norway enter this single-elimination tie after showing serious resilience to navigate highly dramatic, multi-goal encounters in the previous round.

England earned their passport to the final eight by silencing a hostile crowd in Mexico City, outlasting Mexico in a thrilling 3-2 battle. Norway matched that attacking intent, pulling off a phenomenal statement victory by knocking out powerhouse Brazil in a gritty 2-1 result. The ultimate stakes are massive: the nation that survives this heavyweight matchup will progress to the Semifinals to face the winner of today's later Quarterfinal between Argentina and Switzerland.

The predictive metrics install the Three Lions as the clear front-runner to progress, though both teams' explosive offensive tracks point toward an entertaining, high-scoring affair. Here is the direct look at the moneyline percentages, total goals lines, and top exact scores.

Moneyline

The straight-up winner market gives England a clear mathematical edge within regulation time, though Norway's top-tier attacking weapons leave a combined 44.4% statistical window to force extra time or stage a major knockout upset:

• England to win: 55.6%
• Draw: 22.6%
• Norway to win: 21.8%

Total goals market (Over/Under 2.5)

Reflecting both teams' high-scoring track records in the Round of 16 and the presence of world-class attacking quality on both sheets, the model comfortably favors an open, fluid match that clears the standard benchmark:

• Over 2.5 goals: 56.3%
• Under 2.5 goals: 43.7%

Most likely exact scores

The exact scoreline distribution underscores a dynamic encounter where scorelines featuring goals for both sides dominate individual mathematical expectations:

• Norway 1-1 Draw: 10.6%
• Norway 1-2 England: 9.9%
• Norway 0-1 England: 9.8%
• Norway 0-2 England: 9.2%
• Norway 1-3 England: 6.1%

Summary: England enters this opening Saturday Quarterfinal match as a solid 55.6% favorite. Because regular-time moneylines in high-level knockout environments carry real volatility and the model flags a 1-1 deadlock as the single most probable outcome (10.6%), combination plays are the best angle to capture value. Given the model's strong 56.3% confidence in Over 2.5 total match goals alongside the heavy preference for both sides getting on the sheet, backing Both Teams to Score (BTTS) or taking England or Draw on the Double Chance market paired with an alt line of Over 1.5 total goals builds a highly logical, data-backed angle.

Argentina vs. Switzerland odds, picks and predictions

Kickoff: July 11, 9pm (ET)

The elite Quarterfinals stage continues on Saturday with a highly anticipated tactical matchup between Argentina and Switzerland in the second window.

Argentina stamped their ticket to the final eight with a hard-fought, high-scoring 3-2 regular-time comeback victory over Egypt, displaying a lethal attacking edge. Switzerland, true to their reputation as tournament survivors, advanced via a nerve-wracking, high-stakes penalty shootout victory over Colombia after refusing to break across 120 minutes of grueling play. The path forward is set: the nation that navigates this high-level clash will move on to the Semifinals to face the winner of the England vs. Norway battle played earlier in the day.

The predictive metrics install La Albiceleste as clear favorites to dictate the tempo of this match, leaning heavily toward a compact, low-scoring script. Here is the direct look at the moneyline percentages, total goals lines, and top exact scores.

Moneyline

The straight-up winner market gives Argentina a commanding edge within regulation time, though the Swiss squad's disciplined shape leaves a combined 41.4% statistical window to force extra time or stage a major knockout upset:

• Argentina to win: 58.6%
• Draw: 24.5%
• Switzerland to win: 16.9%

Total goals market (Over/Under 2.5)

Reflecting Switzerland’s elite defensive organization and the immense, cagey pressure that defines a Quarterfinal stage, the algorithm aggressively targets a low-scoring game, making the under a comfortable favorite:

• Under 2.5 goals: 57.5%
• Over 2.5 goals: 42.5%

Most likely exact scores

The exact scoreline distribution underscores a match expected to be decided by razor-thin margins, where narrow clean sheets or low-scoring deadlocks dominate mathematical expectations:

• Argentina 1-0 Switzerland: 15.1%
• Argentina 2-0 Switzerland: 12.3%
• Argentina 1-1 Draw: 11.3%
• Argentina 0-0 Draw: 9.2%
• Argentina 2-1 Switzerland: 9.2%

Summary: Argentina enters this second Saturday Quarterfinal matchup as a solid 58.6% favorite. Because single-elimination fixtures tighten up immensely at this deep stage of the bracket—and the model anchors heavily to a 1-0 victory or a low-scoring draw at the top of the score projections—backing a straight regular-time side requires a protective element. Given the model's comfortable 57.5% confidence in Under 2.5 total match goals, taking the Under provides a highly secure foundation, while pairing Argentina or Draw on the Double Chance market with Under 2.5 total goals builds an incredibly logical, data-backed play.