Norway vs. England prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Quarter-Final]

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's World Cup 2026 matchup between Norway and England, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 22.7% chance of Norway winning, a 54.5% chance for England, and a 22.8% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 56.7% chance of going over, with a 56.5% likelihood that both teams score. In the win to nil market, England holds a 27.7% probability to win without conceding, with Norway at 10.6%.

For bettors looking to cover multiple possibilities, the most likely double chance result is England to win or draw at 77.3%.

Note that these odds cover 90 minutes of regulation time. If you're used to NBA markets that include overtime, remember that World Cup bets exclude extra time unless the specific market says so.

England vs. Norway odds

We have sourced the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Norway	England	Draw
+308	-102	+277

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-137	+133

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Norway vs. England picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: England @ -102 via Novig
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +133 via Novig
• Win to Nil: England @ +250 via BetMGM
• Double Chance: Norway or England @ -350 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: No @ +140 via FanDuel

According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is England to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

As well as being the most likely winner of the game, the edge provided on England's odds also provide the best value for bettors.

Norway vs. England: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
Norway 1-1 England	10.7%
Norway 1-2 England	9.8%
Norway 0-1 England	9.6%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 56.5% chance of both sides finding the net and a 43.5% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Norway vs. England player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Saturday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Norway-England:

Norway

• Erling Haaland: 31.7% probability
• Alexander Sorloth: 16.0% probability
• Antonio Nusa: 11.8% probability
• Martin Odegaard: 8.6% probability
• Patrick Berg: 6.4% probability

England

• Harry Kane: 39.4% probability
• Jude Bellingham: 20.2% probability
• Bukayo Saka: 17.6% probability
• Anthony Gordon: 16.8% probability
• Nico O'Reilly: 8.6% probability

Norway vs. England game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's FIFA World Cup game between Norway and England at Hard Rock Stadium is scheduled to commence at 5:00 PM ET.

• Who: Norway vs. England
• Date: Saturday, July 11, 2026
• Time: 5:00 PM ET/2:00PM PT
• Venue: Hard Rock Stadium

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Norway has a 22.7% win probability on Saturday, England has a 54.5% win probability, and there is a 22.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.