Argentina vs. Switzerland prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Quarter-Final]

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's World Cup 2026 matchup between Argentina and Switzerland, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model indicates a 58.5% chance of Argentina winning, a 17.0% chance for Switzerland, and a 24.6% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 57.6% chance of staying under, with a 57.7% likelihood of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, Argentina holds a 38.1% probability to win without conceding, with Switzerland given a 10.3% chance.

For bettors looking to cover multiple potential outcomes, the most likely double chance result is Argentina to win or draw at 83.0%.

Note that these odds cover 90 minutes of regulation time. If you're used to NBA markets that include overtime, remember that World Cup bets exclude extra time unless the specific market says so.

Switzerland vs. Argentina odds

We have sourced the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Argentina	Switzerland	Draw
-138	+506	+270

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
+141	-147

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Argentina vs. Switzerland picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Switzerland @ +506 via Novig
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ +141 via Novig
• Win to Nil: Argentina @ +145 via ESPN BET
• Double Chance: Argentina or Switzerland @ -330 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: No @ -144 via FanDuel

According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 Argentina win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
Argentina 1-0 Switzerland	15.1%
Argentina 2-0 Switzerland	12.3%
Argentina 1-1 Switzerland	11.3%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 42.3% chance of both Argentina and Switzerland finding the net and a 57.7% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Argentina vs. Switzerland player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Saturday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Argentina-Switzerland:

Argentina

• Lionel Messi: 36.6% probability
• Lautaro Martinez: 26.6% probability
• Enzo Fernandez: 11.9% probability
• Rodrigo De Paul: 9.0% probability
• Leandro Paredes: 8.9% probability

Switzerland

• Breel Embolo: 14.8% probability
• Dan Ndoye: 9.4% probability
• Ruben Vargas: 9.2% probability
• Fabian Rieder: 6.6% probability
• Granit Xhaka: 5.9% probability

Argentina vs. Switzerland game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's soccer World Cup game between Argentina and Switzerland at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to commence at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: Argentina vs. Switzerland
• Date: Saturday, July 11, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: Arrowhead Stadium

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Argentina has a 58.5% win probability on Saturday, Switzerland has a 17.0% win probability, and there is a 24.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.