Jun 11, 2026
Mercury vs. Wings prediction: Paige Bueckers projected to score 20 points in Thursday's WNBA game [6/11/2026]
Read Article WNBA player props today: Thursday's best props include Kelsey Mitchell [6/11/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get WNBA player props today with projections for Thursday's games.
Dimers' WNBA props are live for June 11, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Kelsey Mitchell, Jessica Shepard and A'ja Wilson.
Our WNBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Liberty vs. Dream and Mercury vs. Wings, to surface the best WNBA player prop bets across the market.
List of WNBA prop bets for Thursday, 6/11
Sourced from 30+ total WNBA props on site today, below are the top ten WNBA player props for June 11, ranked by probability.
Kelsey Mitchell over 18.5 points scored (-116)
- Edge: 5.3%
- Probability: 59.0%
- Projection: 23.0
- Game: Sky vs. Fever (7:00PM ET)
Our model has found value on Indiana's Kelsey Mitchell over 18.5 points scored. A probability of 59.0% gives this play an edge of 5.3% at -116 odds.
Jessica Shepard over 10.5 rebounds (-116)
- Edge: 4.0%
- Probability: 57.8%
- Projection: 11.9
- Game: Mercury vs. Wings (9:00PM ET)
Jessica Shepard’s rebounds prop shows a 4.0% edge at -116 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 11.9 rebounds on the over 10.5 line.
A'ja Wilson over 26.5 points scored (+102)
- Edge: 8.2%
- Probability: 57.8%
- Projection: 30.3
- Game: Aces vs. Fire (10:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on A'ja Wilson over 26.5 points scored, with simulations showing a 57.8% probability and an 8.2% edge at +102.
Kamilla Cardoso over 12.5 points scored (-112)
- Edge: 4.4%
- Probability: 57.2%
- Projection: 16.0
- Game: Sky vs. Fever (7:00PM ET)
Our model projects Kamilla Cardoso to record 16.0 points scored today, creating an edge of 4.4% on the over 12.5 line at -112 odds.
Jackie Young over 4.5 rebounds (-116)
- Edge: 1.2%
- Probability: 54.9%
- Projection: 5.4
- Game: Aces vs. Fire (10:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Jackie Young over 4.5 rebounds for Las Vegas, showing an edge of 1.2% at -116 odds.
Azzi Fudd over 12.5 points scored (-116)
- Edge: 1.0%
- Probability: 54.8%
- Projection: 14.7
- Game: Mercury vs. Wings (9:00PM ET)
Azzi Fudd’s points scored prop shows an edge of 1.0% at -116 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 14.7 today.
A'ja Wilson under 10.5 rebounds (-118)
- Edge: 0.4%
- Probability: 54.6%
- Projection: 9.7
- Game: Aces vs. Fire (10:00PM ET)
Our model projects A'ja Wilson for 9.7 rebounds for Las Vegas, creating an edge of 0.4% on under 10.5 at -118 odds.
A'ja Wilson over 3.5 assists (+134)
- Edge: 11.2%
- Probability: 53.9%
- Projection: 4.2
- Game: Aces vs. Fire (10:00PM ET)
Our expert modelling projects A'ja Wilson for 4.2 assists, creating value on the over 3.5 line at +134 odds and a 11.2% edge.
Carla Leite under 13.5 points scored (-114)
- Edge: 0.6%
- Probability: 53.8%
- Projection: 11.7
- Game: Aces vs. Fire (10:00PM ET)
A 0.6% edge on the under 3.5 points scored line makes Carla Leite a value play in Aces vs. Fire, with our model projecting her for 11.7 points scored at -114 odds.
Arike Ogunbowale over 15.5 points scored (-108)
- Edge: 0.8%
- Probability: 52.7%
- Projection: 16.7
- Game: Mercury vs. Wings (9:00PM ET)
Simulations project Arike Ogunbowale for 16.7 points scored here, creating a 0.8% edge on the over 15.5 line at -108 odds.
WNBA player prop summary: Thursday, June 11, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 1:20PM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky vs. Fever | Kelsey Mitchell over 18.5 points scored | -116 @ Fanatics | 5.3% | 59.0% |
| Mercury vs. Wings | Jessica Shepard over 10.5 rebounds | -116 @ Fanatics | 4.0% | 57.8% |
| Aces vs. Fire | A'ja Wilson over 26.5 points scored | +102 @ FanDuel | 4.4% | 57.2% |
| Sky vs. Fever | Kamilla Cardoso over 12.5 points scored | -112 @ DraftKings | 4.4% | 57.2% |
| Aces vs. Fire | Jackie Young over 4.5 rebounds | -116 @ Fanatics | 1.2% | 54.9% |
| Mercury vs. Wings | Azzi Fudd over 12.5 points scored | -116 @ Fanatics | 1.0% | 54.8% |
| Aces vs. Fire | A'ja Wilson under 10.5 rebounds | -118 @ FanDuel | 0.4% | 54.6% |
| Aces vs. Fire | A'ja Wilson over 3.5 assists | +134 @ FanDuel | 11.2% | 53.9% |
| Aces vs. Fire | Carla Leite under 13.5 points scored | -114 @ FanDuel | 0.6% | 53.8% |
| Mercury vs. Wings | Arike Ogunbowale over 15.5 points scored | -108 @ DraftKings | 0.8% | 52.7% |
Conclusion
For June 11, 2026, our WNBA prop bets feature players such as Kelsey Mitchell, Jessica Shepard and A'ja Wilson. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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