WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Wednesday, June 10, 2026
Get first basket predictions today driven by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 6/10.

Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Wednesday, June 10, 2026—are live with the Sparks' Kelsey Plum projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections are based on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Plum, Marina Mabrey and Leila Lacan lead Wednesday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (June 10, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Kelsey Plum (Sparks) | 14.1% |
| Marina Mabrey (Tempo) | 13.6% |
| Leila Lacan (Sun) | 13.4% |
| Dominique Malonga (Storm) | 12.5% |
| Brittney Sykes (Tempo) | 12.5% |
| Natisha Hiedeman (Storm) | 11.8% |
| Dearica Hamby (Sparks) | 11.1% |
| Nyara Sabally (Tempo) | 11.1% |
| Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks) | 10.7% |
| Aaliyah Edwards (Sun) | 10.3% |
| Awa Fam (Storm) | 9.9% |
| Saniya Rivers (Sun) | 9.1% |
| Diamond Miller (Sun) | 9.0% |
| Flau'jae Johnson (Storm) | 8.6% |
| Kennedy Burke (Sun) | 8.2% |
| Ariel Atkins (Sparks) | 7.7% |
| Jade Melbourne (Storm) | 7.2% |
| Maria Conde (Tempo) | 6.9% |
| Erica Wheeler (Sparks) | 6.3% |
| Julie Allemand (Tempo) | 6.0% |

WNBA first basket picks today (June 10, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Sykes | Tempo | 1.9% | +850 | 12.5% |
| Marina Mabrey | Tempo | 1.8% | +750 | 13.6% |
| Kelsey Plum | Sparks | 0.8% | +650 | 14.1% |
| Natisha Hiedeman | Storm | 0.7% | +800 | 11.8% |
| Ariel Atkins | Sparks | 0.0% | +1200 | 7.7% |
| Saniya Rivers | Sun | 0.0% | +1000 | 9.1% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 6/10.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Wednesday, June 10, 2026, Kelsey Plum, Marina Mabrey and Leila Lacan lead our first basket projections, while Brittney Sykes shapes as the strongest value play at +850. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
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