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WNBA first basket predictions for Saturday include Kelsey Mitchell, Napheesa Collier [7/5/2025]
Our expert analysis on Saturday's WNBA first basket market.

This Saturday, July 5th, it's time for an exciting day of WNBA basketball, headlined by the Sparks' matchup against the Fever at 7:00PM ET.
After evaluating Saturday's WNBA simulation results early this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our data analysts have announced their best first basket bet of the day.
Additionally, this article reveals the WNBA players our predictive analytics model has projected to have the greatest chance of scoring the first basket in their respective matchups on Saturday.
Let's dive into today's WNBA first basket news and updates.
WNBA Players to Watch Today
Based on the most recent injury reports, Saturday's WNBA slate is expected to showcase players such as Napheesa Collier, Kelsey Mitchell, and Dearica Hamby, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.
Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight? [WNBA Cheat Sheet for July 5, 2025]
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket across all of today's matchups is Napheesa Collier, with a probability of 16.4%.
Thanks to simulating Saturday's WNBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.
Player (Team) | First Basket Probability |
---|---|
Napheesa Collier (Lynx) | 16.4% |
Kelsey Mitchell (Fever) | 14.0% |
Dearica Hamby (Sparks) | 14.0% |
Azura Stevens (Sparks) | 13.0% |
Kayla Thornton (Valkyries) | 12.5% |
Courtney Williams (Lynx) | 11.2% |
Tiffany Hayes (Valkyries) | 11.2% |
Rickea Jackson (Sparks) | 10.5% |
Janelle Salaun (Valkyries) | 10.0% |
Natasha Howard (Fever) | 9.8% |
Following Collier closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Kelsey Mitchell at 14.0% and Dearica Hamby at 14.0%.

Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: WNBA First Basket [7/5/2025]
After simulating the result of today's WNBA matchups 10K times each, our leading predictive analytics model has generated the best WNBA first basket bet for you to make on Saturday.
For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.
Azura Stevens To Score First Basket
- Odds: +800
- Edge: 1.9%
- Probability: 13%
- Game: Sparks vs. Fever (7:00PM ET)
Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for today's WNBA slate in the game between the Sparks and Fever. The bet is on Azura Stevens (LA) at odds of +800 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 1.9% according to our analysis.
Dimers' model not only highlights Stevens for her 1.9% betting edge but also ranks her among the top three most likely first basket scorers for today, as seen in the above list.
Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props
WNBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Saturday's data-driven WNBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.
For today's full list of WNBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!
WNBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds
- Read the latest news alerts from the official WNBA feed
- Check updated WNBA odds
- Find broadcasting and streaming options for today's WNBA games
WNBA Schedule for Today [7/5/2025]
- Sparks vs. Fever (7:00PM ET, Saturday)
- Valkyries vs. Lynx (8:00PM ET, Saturday)
Today's WNBA First Basket Picks: July 5, 2025
This WNBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on WNBA first basket picks for July 5, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial standards.
All of Dimers' WNBA first basket picks for Saturday, July 5, are based on thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate WNBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.
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Understanding Betting Edge
The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
More About WNBA
This article is part of our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets series.
For more WNBA betting content, we have WNBA trends for every game, as well as daily WNBA betting news and the latest WNBA title odds and predictions.