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WNBA first basket predictions for Sunday include A'ja Wilson, Kelsey Mitchell [7/27/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert analysis on Sunday's WNBA first basket market.

WNBA First Basket Predictions Today.
The most likely WNBA first basket scorers for Sunday have been revealed.

Our WNBA first basket predictions for Sunday, July 27, 2025, are live—with A'ja Wilson of the Aces the most likely player to score the first basket based on the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Sunday's first basket predictions come from our WNBA player projections, which highlight not only first basket chances, but also projected points, rebounds, assists and more for every player on today's basketball slate.

Who will score the first basket tonight? [July 27, 2025]

Thanks to simulating Sunday's WNBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team) First Basket Probability
A'ja Wilson (Aces) 18.1%
Napheesa Collier (Lynx) 15.3%
Kelsey Mitchell (Fever) 15.2%
Shakira Austin (Mystics) 🔒
Angel Reese (Sky) 🔒
Courtney Williams (Lynx) 🔒
Brittney Griner (Dream) 🔒
Brionna Jones (Dream) 🔒
Kahleah Copper (Mercury) 🔒
Tiffany Hayes (Valkyries) 🔒

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket across all of today's games is A'ja Wilson, with a probability of 18.1%.

Following Wilson closely are Napheesa Collier at 15.3% and Kelsey Mitchell at 15.2%.

Shakira Austin and Angel Reese are among those in the top 10, with the full list of first basket projections for Sunday available once you sign up to Dimers Pro.

A'ja Wilson makes a layup.
A'ja Wilson is among the top contenders in the WNBA to score the first basket on Sunday, July 27, 2025.

Best WNBA first basket picks [7/27/2025]

Having simulated the outcome of today's WNBA slate thousands of times, our trusted predictive analytics model has discovered the best WNBA first basket betting pick for Sunday.

Courtney Williams first basket scorer

Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for Sunday's WNBA slate in the game between the Dream and Lynx. The bet is on Courtney Williams (MIN) at odds of +1200 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 5.4% according to our analysis.

Our model not only showcases Williams for her 5.4% betting edge but also ranks her among the top 10 most likely first basket scorers for today, as seen in the earlier list.

 

For today's full list of WNBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

WNBA schedule for today [7/27/2025]

Conclusion

For July 27, 2025, our WNBA first basket predictions spotlight star players including A'ja Wilson, Napheesa Collier and Kelsey Mitchell—all of whom are among the top projected chances to open the scoring in today’s games. But when it comes to +EV betting, it’s Courtney Williams who emerges as the top play, showing a calculated 5.4% edge at +1200 odds.

These projections are built from 10,000 simulations, giving you a reliable basis for smarter prop betting. Always wager with care—help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER if you or someone close to you needs support.

For more insight, check out our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets. Stay in the loop with our up-to-the-minute WNBA betting trends, WNBA news, and current WNBA title odds.

This article was partially generated using automated data and AI tools, with all content reviewed and finalized by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and quality.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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