WNBA first basket predictions for Saturday include Shakira Austin, Breanna Stewart [7/26/2025]

Our WNBA first basket predictions for Saturday, July 26, 2025, have landed—with Shakira Austin of the Mystics the most likely player to score the first basket based on the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Saturday's first basket predictions come from our WNBA player projections, which highlight not only first basket chances, but also projected points, rebounds, assists and more for every player on today's basketball slate.

Who will score the first basket tonight? [July 26, 2025]

Thanks to simulating Saturday's WNBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Shakira Austin (Mystics)	14.7%
Dearica Hamby (Sparks)	14.1%
Nneka Ogwumike (Storm)	13.5%
Azura Stevens (Sparks)	🔒
Breanna Stewart (Liberty)	🔒
Jonquel Jones (Liberty)	🔒
Kelsey Plum (Sparks)	🔒
Brittney Sykes (Mystics)	🔒
Rickea Jackson (Sparks)	🔒
Gabby Williams (Storm)	🔒

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket across all of today's matchups is Shakira Austin, with a probability of 14.7%.

Following Austin closely are Dearica Hamby at 14.1% and Nneka Ogwumike at 13.5%.

Azura Stevens and Breanna Stewart are among those in the top 10, with the full list of first basket projections for Saturday available once you sign up to Dimers Pro.

Best WNBA first basket picks [7/26/2025]

Having simulated the result of today's WNBA slate thousands of times, our independent predictive analytics model has generated the best WNBA first basket bet for you to make on Saturday.

Kelsey Plum first basket scorer

• Odds: +1200
• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 10.3%
• Matchup: Sparks vs. Liberty (7:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for Saturday's WNBA slate in the game between the Sparks and Liberty. The bet is on Kelsey Plum (LA) at odds of +1200 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 2.7% according to our analysis.

Not only does Plum present an edge according to the model, but she is also among our top 10 most likely first basket scorers for today, as noted in the list above.

For today's full list of WNBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

WNBA schedule for today [7/26/2025]

• Sparks vs. Liberty (7:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Storm vs. Mystics (7:30PM ET, Saturday)

Conclusion

For July 26, 2025, our WNBA first basket predictions feature big-name players such as Shakira Austin, Dearica Hamby and Nneka Ogwumike—all of whom are among the top projected chances to open the scoring in today’s games. But when it comes to +EV betting, it’s Kelsey Plum who emerges as the top play, showing a calculated 2.7% edge at +1200 odds.

These projections are the result of 10,000 simulations, giving you a reliable basis for smarter prop betting. Always wager with care—help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER if you or someone close to you needs support.

For more insight, check out our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets. Stay in the loop with our up-to-the-minute WNBA betting trends, WNBA news, and current WNBA title odds.

This article was partially generated using automated data and AI tools, with all content reviewed and finalized by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and quality.

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