WNBA- More Betting
WNBA first basket predictions for Wednesday include Kamilla Cardoso, Alyssa Thomas [7/16/2025]
Our expert analysis on Wednesday's WNBA first basket market.

Our WNBA first basket predictions for Wednesday, July 16, 2025, have landed—with Kamilla Cardoso of the Sky the most likely player to score the first basket according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.
Wednesday's first basket predictions pull from our proprietary WNBA player projections, which highlight not only first basket chances, but also projected points, rebounds, assists and more for every player on today's basketball slate.
Who will score the first basket tonight? [July 16, 2025]
Thanks to simulating Wednesday's WNBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.
Player (Team) | First Basket Probability |
---|---|
Kamilla Cardoso (Sky) | 15.9% |
Paige Bueckers (Wings) | 15.3% |
Napheesa Collier (Lynx) | 15.3% |
A'ja Wilson (Aces) | 🔒 |
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) | 🔒 |
Kelsey Mitchell (Fever) | 🔒 |
Breanna Stewart (Liberty) | 🔒 |
Courtney Williams (Lynx) | 🔒 |
Aliyah Boston (Fever) | 🔒 |
Nneka Ogwumike (Storm) | 🔒 |
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket across today's games is Kamilla Cardoso, with a probability of 15.9%.
Following Cardoso closely are Paige Bueckers at 15.3% and Napheesa Collier at 15.3%.
A'ja Wilson and Alyssa Thomas are among those in the top 10, with the full list of first basket projections for Wednesday available once you sign up to Dimers Pro.

Best WNBA first basket picks [7/16/2025]
Having simulated the outcome of today's WNBA matchups 10,000 times each, our predictive model has found the best WNBA first basket betting pick for Wednesday.
Rachel Banham first basket scorer
- Odds: +1500
- Edge: 3.4%
- Probability: 9.7%
- Game: Dream vs. Sky (12:00PM ET)
Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for Wednesday's WNBA slate in the game between the Dream and Sky. The bet is on Rachel Banham (CHI) at odds of +1500 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 3.4% according to our analysis.
Although Banham doesn't feature in our model's top 10 most likely first basket scorers for Wednesday's WNBA slate, she does present the best betting opportunity for those looking to gain an edge on the market.
For today's full list of WNBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!
WNBA schedule for today [7/16/2025]
- Dream vs. Sky (12:00PM ET, Wednesday)
- Mercury vs. Lynx (1:00PM ET, Wednesday)
- Valkyries vs. Storm (3:00PM ET, Wednesday)
- Fever vs. Liberty (7:30PM ET, Wednesday)
- Aces vs. Wings (8:00PM ET, Wednesday)
Conclusion
For July 16, 2025, our WNBA first basket predictions feature star players such as Kamilla Cardoso, Paige Bueckers and Napheesa Collier—all of whom are among the top projected chances to open the scoring in today’s games. But when it comes to +EV betting, it’s Rachel Banham who emerges as the top pick, showing a calculated 3.4% edge at +1500 odds.
These projections are built from 10,000 simulations, giving you a reliable starting point for smarter prop betting. Always wager with care—help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER if you or someone close to you needs support.
For more insight, check out our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets. Stay in the loop with our up-to-the-minute WNBA betting trends, WNBA news, and current WNBA title odds.
This article was partially generated using automated data and AI tools, with all content reviewed and finalized by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and quality.
Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.