WNBA first basket predictions for Friday include Tina Charles, Aliyah Boston [7/11/2025]

Our WNBA first basket predictions for Friday, July 11, 2025, are live—with Tina Charles of the Sun the most likely player to score the first basket based on the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Friday's first basket predictions come straight from our WNBA player projections, which highlight not only first basket chances, but also projected points, rebounds, assists and more for every player on today's basketball slate.

Bet smarter with Pro: Use 20BASKETBALL for 20% off

Start My Free Trial

Who will score the first basket tonight? [WNBA Cheat Sheet for July 11, 2025]

Thanks to simulating Friday's WNBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket in any of today's games is Tina Charles, with a probability of 14.1%.

Following Charles closely are Nneka Ogwumike at 13.7% and Aliyah Boston at 12.8%.

Brionna Jones and Kelsey Mitchell are among those in the top 10, with the full list of first basket projections for Friday available once you sign up to Dimers Pro.

Best WNBA first basket picks [7/11/2025]

After simulating the outcome of today's WNBA matchups 10K times each, our independent predictive analytics model has found the best WNBA first basket bet for you to make on Friday.

Kelsey Mitchell first basket scorer

• Odds: +1200
• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 12.2%
• Matchup: Dream vs. Fever (7:30PM ET)

Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for today's WNBA slate in the game between the Dream and Fever. The bet is on Kelsey Mitchell (IND) at odds of +1200 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 4.6% according to our analysis.

Dimers' model not only highlights Mitchell for her 4.6% betting edge but also ranks her among the top five most likely first basket scorers for today, as seen in the earlier list.

Kelsey Mitchell first basket scorer

+1200

Bet $20
Payout $260Bet $20, Payout $260

For today's full list of WNBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

Get All Seven First Basket Picks for Friday

Start My Free Trial

WNBA schedule for today [7/11/2025]

• Dream vs. Fever (7:30PM ET, Friday)
• Sun vs. Storm (10:00PM ET, Friday)

Conclusion

For July 11, 2025, our WNBA first basket predictions feature star players including Tina Charles, Nneka Ogwumike and Aliyah Boston—all of whom are among the top projected chances to open the scoring in today’s games. But when it comes to betting value, it’s Kelsey Mitchell who emerges as the top pick, producing a calculated 4.6% edge at +1200 odds.

These projections are built from 10,000 game simulations, giving you a reliable foundation for smarter prop betting. Always wager with care—help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER if you or someone close to you needs support.

For more insight, check out our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets. Stay in the loop with our up-to-the-minute WNBA betting trends, WNBA news, and current WNBA title odds.

This article was partially generated using automated data and AI tools, with all content reviewed and finalized by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and quality.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.