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WNBA first basket predictions for Sunday include Tina Charles, Ariel Atkins [6/29/2025]
Our expert analysis on Sunday's WNBA first basket market.

This Sunday, June 29th, it's time for an action-packed day of WNBA basketball, headlined by the Liberty's matchup against the Dream at 3:00PM ET.
After evaluating Sunday's WNBA simulation results this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our team of data analysts have announced their best first basket bet of the day.
Additionally, this article reveals the WNBA players our predictive analytics model has determined to have the greatest chance of scoring the first basket in their respective matchups on Sunday.
Let's dive into today's WNBA first basket news and updates.
WNBA Players to Watch Today
Based on the most recent injury reports, Sunday's WNBA slate is expected to feature star players such as Tina Charles, Ariel Atkins and Breanna Stewart, each with a high probability of scoring first when they take to the court.
Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight? [WNBA Cheat Sheet for June 29, 2025]
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket across today's matchups is Tina Charles, with a probability of 14.8%.
Thanks to simulating Sunday's WNBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.
Player (Team) | First Basket Probability |
---|---|
Tina Charles (Sun) | 14.8% |
Ariel Atkins (Sky) | 14.6% |
Breanna Stewart (Liberty) | 13.8% |
Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty) | 12.6% |
Satou Sabally (Mercury) | 12.6% |
Kayla Thornton (Valkyries) | 12.4% |
Brionna Jones (Dream) | 12.2% |
Angel Reese (Sky) | 12.0% |
Jackie Young (Aces) | 11.7% |
Azura Stevens (Sparks) | 11.4% |
Following Charles closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Ariel Atkins at 14.6% and Breanna Stewart at 13.8%.

Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: WNBA First Basket [6/29/2025]
After simulating the outcome of today's WNBA slate thousands of times, our trusted predictive analytics model has found the best WNBA first basket betting pick for Sunday.
For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.
Chelsea Gray To Score First Basket
- Odds: +1300
- Edge: 2.4%
- Probability: 9.6%
- Game: Aces vs. Mercury (6:00PM ET)
Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for today's WNBA slate in the game between the Aces and Mercury. The bet is on Chelsea Gray (LV) at odds of +1300 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 2.4% according to our analysis.
Although Gray doesn't feature in our model's top 10 most likely first basket scorers for Sunday's WNBA slate, she does present the best betting opportunity for those searching for an edge on the market.
Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props
WNBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Sunday's data-driven WNBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.
For today's full list of WNBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!
WNBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds
- Read the latest news alerts from the official WNBA feed
- Check updated WNBA odds
- Find broadcasting and streaming options for today's WNBA games
WNBA Schedule for Today [6/29/2025]
- Liberty vs. Dream (3:00PM ET, Sunday)
- Sky vs. Sparks (4:00PM ET, Sunday)
- Aces vs. Mercury (6:00PM ET, Sunday)
- Sun vs. Lynx (7:00PM ET, Sunday)
- Storm vs. Valkyries (8:30PM ET, Sunday)
Today's WNBA First Basket Picks: June 29, 2025
This WNBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on WNBA first basket picks for June 29, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.
All of Dimers' WNBA first basket predictions for Sunday, June 29, are the result of rigorous data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate WNBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.
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Understanding Betting Edge
At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available WNBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.
More About WNBA
This article is part of our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets series.
For more WNBA betting content, we have WNBA trends for every game, as well as daily WNBA betting news and the latest WNBA title odds and predictions.