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WNBA first basket predictions for Thursday include Monique Billings, Caitlin Clark [6/19/2025]

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Written by Nick Slade

Our expert analysis on Thursday's WNBA first basket market.

WNBA First Basket Predictions Today.
The most likely WNBA first basket scorers for Thursday have been revealed.

This Thursday, June 19th, we have another action-packed day of WNBA basketball ahead of us, with the Fever facing the Valkyries at 10:00PM ET.

After evaluating Thursday's WNBA simulation results early this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our data experts have revealed their best first basket bet of the day.


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Additionally, this article reveals the WNBA players our predictive analytics model has determined to have the greatest chance of scoring the first basket in Thursday's lone game.

Let's dive into today's WNBA first basket news and updates.

WNBA Players to Watch Today

Based on the most recent injury reports, Thursday's WNBA game is expected to feature players such as Sabrina Ionescu, Caitlin Clark and Kelsey Mitchell, each with a high chance of opening the scoring when they take to the court.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight? [WNBA Cheat Sheet for June 19, 2025]

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket in Thursday's clash is Sabrina Ionescu, with a probability of 14.1%.

Thanks to simulating Thursday's WNBA game 10,000 times, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket.

Player (Team)First Basket Probability
Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)14.1%
Monique Billings (Valkyries)13.4%
Satou Sabally (Mercury)13.4%
Caitlin Clark (Fever)12.7%
Kelsey Mitchell (Fever)12.7%
Kayla Thornton (Valkyries)12.2%
Breanna Stewart (Liberty)11.9%
Aliyah Boston (Fever)11.7%
Jonquel Jones (Liberty)10.7%
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)10.3%

Following Ionescu closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Monique Billings at 13.4% and Satou Sabally at 13.4%.


Cailtin Clark takes a free throw for the Fever.
Caitlin Clark is among the top contenders in the WNBA to score the first basket on Thursday, June 19, 2025.


Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: WNBA First Basket [6/19/2025]

Having simulated the result of today's WNBA slate thousands of times, our predictive model has generated the best WNBA first basket bet for you to make on Thursday.

For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.

Kelsey Mitchell To Score First Basket

Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for today's WNBA slate in the game between the Fever and Valkyries. The bet is on Kelsey Mitchell (IND) at odds of +900 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 2.7% according to our analysis.

Our model not only highlights Mitchell for her 2.7% betting edge but also ranks her among the top five most likely first basket scorers for today's Fever vs. Valkyries matchup, as seen in the preceding list.



Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props

WNBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Thursday's data-driven WNBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.

For today's full list of WNBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!


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WNBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds

WNBA Schedule for Today [6/19/2025]

Today's WNBA First Basket Picks: June 19, 2025

This WNBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on WNBA first basket picks for June 19, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of Dimers' WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Thursday, June 19, are based on rigorous data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate WNBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's WNBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

More on WNBA

This article is part of our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets series.

For more WNBA betting content, we have WNBA trends for every game, as well as daily WNBA betting news and the latest WNBA title odds and predictions.

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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.

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