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WNBA First Basket Predictions for Wednesday Include Napheesa Collier, Satou Sabally [6/11/2025]
Our expert analysis on Wednesday's WNBA first basket market.

This Wednesday, June 11th, we have another exciting day of professional hoops upon us, headlined by the Lynx' matchup against the Storm at 10:00PM ET.
After evaluating Wednesday's WNBA simulation results this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our data experts have produced their best first basket bet of the day.
Additionally, this article reveals the WNBA players our predictive analytics model has identified as having the greatest chance of scoring the first basket in their respective matchups on Wednesday.
Let's dive into today's WNBA first basket news and updates.
WNBA Players to Watch Today
Based on the most recent injury reports, Wednesday's WNBA slate is expected to feature star players such as Napheesa Collier, Satou Sabally and A'ja Wilson, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.
Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight? [WNBA Cheat Sheet for June 11, 2025]
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket in any of today's games is Napheesa Collier, with a probability of 15.2%.
Thanks to simulating Wednesday's WNBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.
Player (Team) | First Basket Probability |
---|---|
Napheesa Collier (Lynx) | 15.2% |
Satou Sabally (Mercury) | 14.9% |
A'ja Wilson (Aces) | 14.7% |
Nneka Ogwumike (Storm) | 12.5% |
Dearica Hamby (Sparks) | 11.7% |
Jackie Young (Aces) | 11.7% |
Kelsey Plum (Sparks) | 11.4% |
Courtney Williams (Lynx) | 11.3% |
Paige Bueckers (Wings) | 11.3% |
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) | 10.8% |
Following Collier closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Satou Sabally at 14.9% and A'ja Wilson at 14.7%.

Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: WNBA First Basket [Wednesday, 6/11/2025]
Having simulated the result of today's WNBA matchups 10,000 times each, our leading predictive analytics model has found the best WNBA first basket bet for you to make on Wednesday.
For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.
Erica Wheeler To Score First Basket
- Odds: +1300
- Edge: 2.3%
- Probability: 9.5%
- Matchup: Lynx vs. Storm (10:00PM ET)
Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for today's WNBA slate in the game between the Lynx and Storm. The bet is on Erica Wheeler (SEA) at odds of +1300 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 2.3% according to our analysis.
Although Wheeler doesn't feature in our model's top 10 most likely first basket scorers for Wednesday's WNBA slate, she does present the best betting opportunity for those looking for an edge on the market.
Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props
WNBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Wednesday's data-driven WNBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.
For today's full list of WNBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!
WNBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds
- Read the latest news alerts from the official WNBA feed
- Check updated WNBA odds
- Find broadcasting and streaming options for today's WNBA games
WNBA Schedule for Today [6/11/2025]
- Lynx vs. Storm (10:00PM ET, Wednesday)
- Sparks vs. Aces (10:00PM ET, Wednesday)
- Wings vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET, Wednesday)
Today's WNBA First Basket Picks: June 11, 2025
This WNBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on WNBA first basket picks for June 11, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial standards.
All of our WNBA first basket picks for Wednesday, June 11, are the result of rigorous data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate WNBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.
If you plan to use today's WNBA first basket predictions for your personal gambling, it's crucial that you practice responsible gambling and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Understanding Betting Edge
The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
More About WNBA
This article is part of our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets series.
For more WNBA betting content, we have WNBA trends for every game, as well as daily WNBA betting news and the latest WNBA title odds and predictions.