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Read Article Mystics vs. Storm prediction: Washington favored to win Sunday's WNBA game [5/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Washington Mystics vs Seattle Storm predictions for WNBA Sunday.
The Seattle Storm and Washington Mystics are scheduled to meet in the WNBA at Climate Pledge Arena on Sunday, with tipoff at 6:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model gives the Mystics a slight edge with a 52% win probability over the Storm.
The Storm, with stars such as Natisha Hiedeman, Flau'jae Johnson and Zia Cooke, are set to take on the Mystics, who feature Shakira Austin, Kiki Iriafen and Sonia Citron.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's Mystics vs. Storm matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Mystics vs. Storm prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's WNBA game between the Mystics and Storm, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Mystics a 52% chance of defeating the Storm.
According to our model, the Storm (+4.5) have a 64% chance of covering the spread, while the 158.5-point over/under has a 70% chance of going over.
Mystics vs. Storm odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mystics | Storm |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -4.5 (-112) | +4.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -192 | +165 |
| Total | o158.5 (-108) | u158.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mystics vs. Storm picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Storm +4.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Storm | +165 |
| Total | Over 158.5 | -108 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 158.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mystics vs. Storm player props
WNBA prop bets are a common way to wager on the Mystics vs. Storm game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Climate Pledge Arena.
Shakira Austin is expected to lead the Mystics with 17 points, 8 rebounds and 2 assists, while Natisha Hiedeman is projected to have 12 points, 2 rebounds and 4 assists for the Storm.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's WNBA first basket picks.
Mystics prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Mystics are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakira Austin | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 37 |
| Kiki Iriafen | 16 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 34 |
| Sonia Citron | 15 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 31 |
| Cotie McMahon | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 21 |
| Lauren Betts | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 |
Storm prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Storm:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Hiedeman | 12 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 25 |
| F. Johnson | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 23 |
| Zia Cooke | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 |
| Jade Melbourne | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 17 |
| Awa Fam | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 |
Mystics vs. Storm game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's game between the Storm and Mystics at Climate Pledge Arena is scheduled to start at 6:00 PM ET.
- Who: Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm
- Date: Sunday, May 24, 2026
- Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
- Venue: Climate Pledge Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Mystics, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Storm in Sunday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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