Washington Commanders vs. New York Jets Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - Week 16 [2023]

Washington Commanders vs. New York Jets Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - Week 16 [2023]

The New York Jets will square off with the Washington Commanders in NFL Week 16 action at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's full betting preview for this week's Commanders vs. Jets matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Commanders vs. Jets Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

We have used advanced machine learning and statistical analysis to simulate the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Commanders and Jets 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of NFL picks.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Jets a 60% chance of defeating the Commanders in Week 16 of the NFL season, and our predicted final score has the Jets winning 20-18.

According to our model, the Commanders (+3) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 36-point Over/Under has a 57% chance of going over.

This Washington vs. NY Jets betting preview is proudly sponsored by Bet365, which has a great Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets offer for new customers.

Commanders vs. Jets Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Commanders Jets
Spread +3 (-102) -3 (-110)
Moneyline +148 -165
Total o36 (-110) u36 (-110)
  • The Jets are listed as -3 favorites versus the Commanders, with -110 at BetMGM Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
  • For the underdog Commanders (+3) to cover the spread, DraftKings Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -102.
  • BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Jets at -165. That means you can risk $165 to win $100 for a total payout of $265 if they get the W.
  • Meanwhile, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Commanders at +148, where you can put down $100 to profit $148, earning a total payout of $248 if they win.
  • The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 36 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

As always, make sure you check the sports betting sites you can bet with in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

Commanders vs. Jets Picks

By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have identified the best betting picks to place on this game:

Bet Type Our Pick Best Odds
Spread Commanders +3 -102 πŸ”₯
Moneyline Commanders +148
Total Over 36 -110


If you see a πŸ”₯, you know it's one of Dimers' best bets today across any sport.

While the Jets are more likely to win the game, taking the Commanders moneyline is the best option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Dimers is pivotal to being a profitable bettor in the long run.

Our NFL best bets are based on detailed simulations and wagering intelligence to bring you the best possible plays every time.

Commanders vs. Jets TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Commanders vs. Jets?

According to our model, New York's Breece Hall is most likely to score the first TD in Commanders vs. Jets.

Our projections give Hall a 15.9% chance of getting in for six first at MetLife Stadium, while the Jets RB is a 53.5% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Washington Commanders

Player First TD Probability
Antonio Gibson 8.9%
Terry McLaurin 7.3%
Jahan Dotson 6.7%
Curtis Samuel 6.2%
Logan Thomas 5.3%

New York Jets

Player First TD Probability
Breece Hall 15.9%
Garrett Wilson 11.9%
Xavier Gipson 6.4%
Tyler Conklin 5.7%
Dalvin Cook 4.8%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Washington Commanders

Player Anytime TD Probability
Antonio Gibson 32.7%
Terry McLaurin 27.9%
Jahan Dotson 25.3%
Curtis Samuel 23.5%
Logan Thomas 21.0%

New York Jets

Player Anytime TD Probability
Breece Hall 53.5%
Garrett Wilson 41.6%
Xavier Gipson 24.4%
Tyler Conklin 22.3%
Dalvin Cook 19.1%

Commanders vs Jets Player Props

Here, you will find detailed projections for all of the key offensive players from the Commanders and Jets, including passing, rushing and receiving yards.

Commanders vs. Jets Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Sam Howell is projected for 253 passing yards, while the Jets' Trevor Siemian is expected to throw for 205 yards.

Player Proj. Pass Yards
Sam Howell (WAS) 253 yds
Trevor Siemian (NYJ) 205 yds

Commanders Rushing

Player Proj. Rush Yards
Chris Rodriguez 47 yds
Antonio Gibson 24 yds
Sam Howell 18 yds

Jets Rushing

Player Proj. Rush Yards
Breece Hall 52 yds
Dalvin Cook 14 yds
Israel Abanikanda 11 yds

Commanders Receiving

Player Proj. Rec. Yards
Terry McLaurin 66 yds
Jahan Dotson 39 yds
Curtis Samuel 36 yds
Antonio Gibson 35 yds
Logan Thomas 25 yds

Jets Receiving

Player Proj. Rec. Yards
Garrett Wilson 62 yds
Breece Hall 37 yds
Xavier Gipson 29 yds
Tyler Conklin 29 yds
Jeremy Ruckert 18 yds

Don't forget, our model updates often, so refresh this article for the latest betting insights ahead of the Commanders vs. Jets on Sunday December 24, 2023.

Commanders vs. Jets Game Information

The NFL Week 16 game between the Jets and Commanders at MetLife Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.


Our full betting coverage of Commanders vs. Jets includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

How to Bet on Commanders vs. Jets

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These fees help us keep Dimers free for all sports fans. So, if you like what you see, support us by joining one of our featured sports betting partners below, including DraftKings Sportsbook, where you get $200 in bonus bets for signing up and bettting $5 on Washington vs. NY Jets.


This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on Commanders vs. Jets Week 14 contest, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

Dimers' picks are made after 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While these Commanders vs. Jets predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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More on NFL

Stay informed with the most recent NFL betting news and our data-led NFL picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our Super Bowl odds give you the most up-to-date predictions and the best available odds on the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC, and each division.

Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Sports Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver has long been entrenched in the world of sports and sports betting, now specializing in the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. His passion shines through in his detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles for both the NBA and NFL, along with his sharp prop bets for college football and insightful best bets for college basketball. Ryan’s expertise also extends to soccer, where he frequently offers practical betting tips and highlights the bets of the day. 

Known for his keen eye for valuable betting promos, Ryan adeptly guides bettors toward opportunities that enhance their wagering experiences. Collaborating often with DimersBOT, his articles are meticulously researched and offer savvy betting advice, making him a trusted source for sports bettors.

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