Washington Commanders vs. New York Jets Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - Week 16 [2023]

The New York Jets will square off with the Washington Commanders in NFL Week 16 action at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's full betting preview for this week's Commanders vs. Jets matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Commanders vs. Jets Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

We have used advanced machine learning and statistical analysis to simulate the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Commanders and Jets 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of NFL picks.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Jets a 60% chance of defeating the Commanders in Week 16 of the NFL season, and our predicted final score has the Jets winning 20-18.

According to our model, the Commanders (+3) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 36-point Over/Under has a 57% chance of going over.

This Washington vs. NY Jets betting preview is proudly sponsored by Bet365, which has a great Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets offer for new customers.

Commanders vs. Jets Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Commanders	Jets
Spread	+3 (-102)	-3 (-110)
Moneyline	+148	-165
Total	o36 (-110)	u36 (-110)

• The Jets are listed as -3 favorites versus the Commanders, with -110 at BetMGM Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
• For the underdog Commanders (+3) to cover the spread, DraftKings Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -102.
• BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Jets at -165. That means you can risk $165 to win $100 for a total payout of $265 if they get the W.
• Meanwhile, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Commanders at +148, where you can put down $100 to profit $148, earning a total payout of $248 if they win.
• The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 36 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

As always, make sure you check the sports betting sites you can bet with in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

Commanders vs. Jets Picks

By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have identified the best betting picks to place on this game:

Bet Type	Our Pick	Best Odds
Spread	Commanders +3	-102 🔥
Moneyline	Commanders	+148
Total	Over 36	-110

If you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Dimers' best bets today across any sport.

While the Jets are more likely to win the game, taking the Commanders moneyline is the best option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Dimers is pivotal to being a profitable bettor in the long run.

Our NFL best bets are based on detailed simulations and wagering intelligence to bring you the best possible plays every time.

Commanders vs. Jets TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Commanders vs. Jets?

According to our model, New York's Breece Hall is most likely to score the first TD in Commanders vs. Jets.

Our projections give Hall a 15.9% chance of getting in for six first at MetLife Stadium, while the Jets RB is a 53.5% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Washington Commanders

Player	First TD Probability
Antonio Gibson	8.9%
Terry McLaurin	7.3%
Jahan Dotson	6.7%
Curtis Samuel	6.2%
Logan Thomas	5.3%

New York Jets

Player	First TD Probability
Breece Hall	15.9%
Garrett Wilson	11.9%
Xavier Gipson	6.4%
Tyler Conklin	5.7%
Dalvin Cook	4.8%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Washington Commanders

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Antonio Gibson	32.7%
Terry McLaurin	27.9%
Jahan Dotson	25.3%
Curtis Samuel	23.5%
Logan Thomas	21.0%

New York Jets

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Breece Hall	53.5%
Garrett Wilson	41.6%
Xavier Gipson	24.4%
Tyler Conklin	22.3%
Dalvin Cook	19.1%

Commanders vs Jets Player Props

Here, you will find detailed projections for all of the key offensive players from the Commanders and Jets, including passing, rushing and receiving yards.

Commanders vs. Jets Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Commanders' Sam Howell is projected for 253 passing yards, while the Jets' Trevor Siemian is expected to throw for 205 yards.

Player	Proj. Pass Yards
Sam Howell (WAS)	253 yds
Trevor Siemian (NYJ)	205 yds

Commanders Rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Chris Rodriguez	47 yds
Antonio Gibson	24 yds
Sam Howell	18 yds

Jets Rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Breece Hall	52 yds
Dalvin Cook	14 yds
Israel Abanikanda	11 yds

Commanders Receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Terry McLaurin	66 yds
Jahan Dotson	39 yds
Curtis Samuel	36 yds
Antonio Gibson	35 yds
Logan Thomas	25 yds

Jets Receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Garrett Wilson	62 yds
Breece Hall	37 yds
Xavier Gipson	29 yds
Tyler Conklin	29 yds
Jeremy Ruckert	18 yds

Don't forget, our model updates often, so refresh this article for the latest betting insights ahead of the Commanders vs. Jets on Sunday December 24, 2023.

Commanders vs. Jets Game Information

The NFL Week 16 game between the Jets and Commanders at MetLife Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Washington Commanders vs. New York Jets
• Date: Sunday December 24, 2023
• Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
• Venue: MetLife Stadium

Our full betting coverage of Commanders vs. Jets includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

How to Bet on Commanders vs. Jets

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Conclusion

This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on Commanders vs. Jets Week 14 contest, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

Dimers' picks are made after 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While these Commanders vs. Jets predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.

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