Wagner vs. Chicago State prediction: Why Chicago State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/2/2026]

Men's college basketball action continues on Friday at 7:00 PM ET as Wagner squares off with Chicago State in men's college basketball action at Jones Convocation Center.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model gives Chicago State a slight edge with a 52% win probability over Wagner.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's Wagner vs. Chicago State matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Wagner vs. Chicago State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's NCAA basketball game between Wagner and Chicago State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Chicago State a 52% chance of beating Wagner. Our predicted final score has Chicago State winning 74-73.

According to our model, Wagner (+1.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 149.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.

Wagner vs. Chicago State odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Wagner vs. Chicago State picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: