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Virginia vs. North Carolina State prediction: North Carolina State favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Virginia vs North Carolina State predictions for college basketball Saturday.
North Carolina State will face Virginia in men's college basketball action at Lenovo Center on Saturday, beginning at 11:00 AM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects North Carolina State as the most likely winner of the Virginia vs. North Carolina State game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Virginia vs. North Carolina State prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NCAA basketball matchup between Virginia and North Carolina State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives North Carolina State a 68% chance of defeating Virginia. Our predicted final score has North Carolina State winning 78-73.
According to our model, North Carolina State (-4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 152.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Virginia vs. North Carolina State odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Virginia | North Carolina State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +4.5 (-104) | -4.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +188 | -205 |
| Total | o152.5 (-105) | u152.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Virginia vs. North Carolina State picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | North Carolina State -4.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | North Carolina State | -205 |
| Total | Over 152.5 | -105 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is North Carolina State to win.
Virginia vs. North Carolina State game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's men's college basketball action between North Carolina State and Virginia at Lenovo Center is scheduled to start at 11:00 AM ET.
- Who: Virginia vs. North Carolina State
- Date: Saturday, January 3, 2026
- Time: 11:00 AM ET/8:00AM PT
- Venue: Lenovo Center
Conclusion
We predict North Carolina State, with a 68% win probability, will likely beat Virginia on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Virginia vs. North Carolina State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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