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Utah State vs. USF prediction: South Florida favored to win men's college basketball matchup [12/4/2025]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get Utah State vs USF predictions for college basketball Thursday.

Utah State-USF Predictions and Game Preview.
Utah State vs. USF men's college basketball prediction for Thursday, December 4, 2025.

Men's college basketball action continues on Thursday at 7:00PM ET as Utah State takes on USF in men's college basketball action at Yuengling Center.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts South Florida as the most likely winner of the Utah State vs. USF game.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Utah State vs. USF prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NCAA basketball matchup between Utah State and USF 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives South Florida a 58% chance of defeating Utah State. Our predicted final score has South Florida winning 79-77.

According to our model, South Florida (-2.5) has a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 161.5 points has a 54% chance of staying under.

 

Utah State vs. USF odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Utah State USF
Spread +2.5 (-115) -2.5 (-102)
Moneyline +114 -128
Total o161.5 (-115) u161.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Utah State vs. USF picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread South Florida -2.5 -102
Moneyline South Florida -128
Total Under 161.5 -105

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 161.5 total points.

 

Utah State vs. USF game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's men's college basketball matchup between USF and Utah State at Yuengling Center is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.

  • Who: Utah State vs. South Florida
  • Date: Thursday, December 4, 2025
  • Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
  • Venue: Yuengling Center

 

Conclusion

We predict South Florida, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat Utah State on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Utah State vs. South Florida insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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