UC San Diego vs. Cal Poly prediction: Why UC San Diego is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/1/2026]

Cal Poly will square off with the favored UC San Diego in men's college basketball action at Robert A. Mott Athletics Center on New Year's Day, commencing at 10:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects UC San Diego as the most likely winner of the UC San Diego vs. Cal Poly game.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

UC San Diego vs. Cal Poly prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NCAA basketball game between UC San Diego and Cal Poly 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives UC San Diego a 76% chance of beating Cal Poly. Our predicted final score has UC San Diego winning 86-78.

According to our model, Cal Poly (+8.5) has a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 171.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.

UC San Diego vs. Cal Poly odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

UC San Diego vs. Cal Poly picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: