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UC San Diego vs. Cal Poly prediction: Why UC San Diego is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/1/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get UC San Diego vs Cal Poly predictions for college basketball Thursday.
Cal Poly and UC San Diego are scheduled to meet in men's college basketball action at Robert A. Mott Athletics Center on New Year's Day, with tipoff at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts UC San Diego as the most likely winner of the UC San Diego vs. Cal Poly game.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
UC San Diego vs. Cal Poly prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NCAA basketball matchup between UC San Diego and Cal Poly 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives UC San Diego a 75% chance of defeating Cal Poly. Our predicted final score has UC San Diego winning 86-78.
According to our model, Cal Poly (+8.5) has a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 174.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.
UC San Diego vs. Cal Poly odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | UC San Diego | Cal Poly |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -8.5 (-110) | +8.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | -410 | +330 |
| Total | o174.5 (-108) | u174.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
UC San Diego vs. Cal Poly picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Cal Poly +8.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Cal Poly | +330 |
| Total | Under 174.5 | -110 |
According to our best men's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 174.5 total points.
UC San Diego vs. Cal Poly game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's men's college basketball action between Cal Poly and UC San Diego at Robert A. Mott Athletics Center is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: UC San Diego vs. Cal Poly
- Date: Thursday, January 1, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Robert A. Mott Athletics Center
Conclusion
We predict UC San Diego, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat Cal Poly on New Year's Day.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate UC San Diego vs. Cal Poly insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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