May 15, 2026
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Read Article Tempo vs. Sparks prediction: Los Angeles favored to win Friday's WNBA matchup [5/15/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Toronto Tempo vs Los Angeles Sparks predictions for WNBA Friday.
The Los Angeles Sparks will take on the Toronto Tempo in WNBA action at Crypto.com Arena on Friday, beginning at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Sparks as the most likely winner of the Tempo vs. Sparks game.
The Sparks, with the likes of Nneka Ogwumike, Kelsey Plum and Dearica Hamby, will face off against the Tempo, who feature Brittney Sykes, Marina Mabrey and Maria Conde.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Tempo vs. Sparks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's WNBA game between the Tempo and Sparks, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Sparks a 77% chance of defeating the Tempo.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Tempo and Sparks each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 170.5-point over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Tempo vs. Sparks odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Tempo | Sparks |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +7.5 (-105) | -7.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +270 | -320 |
| Total | o170.5 (-105) | u170.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Tempo vs. Sparks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Tempo +7.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Sparks | -320 |
| Total | Over 170.5 | -105 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Sparks to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Tempo vs. Sparks player props
WNBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on Friday's Toronto vs. Los Angeles matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Crypto.com Arena.
Brittney Sykes is expected to lead the Tempo with 16 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists, while Nneka Ogwumike is projected to have 20 points, 8 rebounds and 2 assists for the Sparks.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's WNBA first basket picks.
Tempo prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Tempo are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Sykes | 16 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 33 |
| Marina Mabrey | 16 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 31 |
| Maria Conde | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 23 |
| Nyara Sabally | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 28 |
| Kiki Rice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 18 |
Sparks prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sparks:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nneka Ogwumike | 20 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 38 |
| Kelsey Plum | 18 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 36 |
| Dearica Hamby | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 37 |
| Rae Burrell | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 24 |
| Erica Wheeler | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 22 |
Tempo vs. Sparks game-day updates and essential details
Friday's matchup between the Sparks and Tempo at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparks
- Date: Friday, May 15, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Crypto.com Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Sparks, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat the Tempo in Friday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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