May 21, 2026
Guardians vs. Tigers prediction: Detroit favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [5/21/2026]
Read Article Blue Jays vs. Yankees prediction: Yankees favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [5/21/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees predictions for MLB Thursday.
MLB action continues on Thursday at 7:05 PM ET as the Toronto Blue Jays square off with the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium.
The Yankees will start Carlos Rodón (0-1, 5.62 ERA), while the Blue Jays have opted for Braydon Fisher (2-1, 3.08 ERA).
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model projects the Yankees as the most likely winner of the Blue Jays vs. Yankees game.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Blue Jays vs. Yankees prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's MLB matchup between the Blue Jays and Yankees, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Yankees a 61% chance of beating the Blue Jays.
According to our model, the Blue Jays (+1.5) have a 57% chance of covering the run line, while the 8-run over/under has a 55% chance of going over.
Blue Jays vs. Yankees odds [5/21/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Blue Jays | Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-155) | -1.5 (+130) |
| Moneyline | +143 | -162 |
| Total | o8 (-114) | u8 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Blue Jays vs. Yankees picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Yankees -1.5 | +130 |
| Moneyline | Yankees | -162 |
| Total | Over 8 | -114 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Blue Jays vs. Yankees game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's MLB matchup between the Yankees and Blue Jays at Yankee Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:05 PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees
- Date: Thursday, May 21, 2026
- Time: 7:05 PM ET/4:05PM PT
- Venue: Yankee Stadium
Conclusion
We predict the Yankees, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Blue Jays in Thursday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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