Texas vs. UConn prediction: Why Connecticut is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [12/12/2025]

UConn will face Texas in men's college basketball action at PeoplesBank Arena on Friday, starting at 8:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects Connecticut as the most likely winner of the Texas vs. UConn game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Texas vs. UConn prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's NCAA basketball matchup between Texas and UConn 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Connecticut a 93% chance of defeating Texas. Our predicted final score has Connecticut winning 81-64.

According to our model, Connecticut (-14.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 145.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Texas vs. UConn odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Texas vs. UConn picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: