Texas State vs. Troy prediction: Why Troy is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [12/31/2025]

Troy and Texas State will lock horns in men's college basketball action at Trojan Arena on Wednesday, with tipoff at 2:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model projects Troy as the most likely winner of the Texas State vs. Troy game.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Texas State vs. Troy prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NCAA basketball game between Texas State and Troy 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Troy an 81% chance of beating Texas State. Our predicted final score has Troy winning 79-70.

According to our model, Troy (-8.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 144.5 points has a 57% chance of going over.

Texas State vs. Troy odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Texas State vs. Troy picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: