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Texas State vs. Troy prediction: Why Troy is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [12/31/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Texas State vs Troy predictions for college basketball Wednesday.
Men's college basketball action continues on Wednesday at 2:00 PM ET as Texas State looks to defy the odds against Troy in men's college basketball action at Trojan Arena.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Troy as the most likely winner of the Texas State vs. Troy game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Texas State vs. Troy prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NCAA basketball matchup between Texas State and Troy 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Troy an 81% chance of defeating Texas State. Our predicted final score has Troy winning 79-70.
According to our model, Troy (-8.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 144.5 points has a 57% chance of going over.
Texas State vs. Troy odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Texas State | Troy |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +8.5 (-102) | -8.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | +350 | -425 |
| Total | o144.5 (-105) | u144.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Texas State vs. Troy picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Troy -8.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Troy | -425 |
| Total | Over 144.5 | -105 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 144.5 total points.
Texas State vs. Troy game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's men's college basketball action between Troy and Texas State at Trojan Arena is scheduled to start at 2:00 PM ET.
- Who: Texas State vs. Troy
- Date: Wednesday, December 31, 2025
- Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00AM PT
- Venue: Trojan Arena
Conclusion
We predict Troy, with an 81% win probability, will likely beat Texas State on Wednesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Texas State vs. Troy insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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