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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Detroit Lions Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - Divisional Round [2024]

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Written by Ryan Leaver
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Detroit Lions Prediction, Odds, NFL Picks - Divisional Round [2024]

The Detroit Lions will take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs at Ford Field on Sunday, beginning at 3:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive betting preview for Sunday's Buccaneers vs. Lions matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Buccaneers vs. Lions Prediction: Model Projects Buccaneers To Cover The Spread

We have used advanced machine learning and statistics to simulate the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Buccaneers and Lions 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of NFL picks.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Lions a 71% chance of beating the Buccaneers, and our predicted final score has the Lions winning 27-21.

According to our model, the Buccaneers (+6.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 49.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Today's Tampa Bay vs. Detroit betting preview is proudly sponsored by BetMGM Sportsbook, which has an outstanding Bet $5, Get $158 in Bonus Bets promo for new customers.

Buccaneers vs. Lions Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Buccaneers Lions
Spread +6.5 (-110) -6.5 (-110)
Moneyline +240 -275
Total o49.5 (-114) u49.5 (-105)
  • The Lions are -6.5 favorites against the Buccaneers, with -110 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
  • For the underdog Buccaneers (+6.5) to cover the spread, FanDuel also has the best odds currently on offer at -110.
  • BetMGM Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lions at -275, which means you can risk $275 to win $100 for a total payout of $375 if they get the W.
  • FanDuel currently has the best moneyline odds for the Buccaneers at +240, where you can bet $100 to profit $240, earning a total payout of $340 if they win.
  • The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 49.5 with FanDuel, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -114, while DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -105.

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

As always, check out the sports betting sites you can bet with in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

Buccaneers vs. Lions Picks

By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have identified the best betting picks to make on this game:

Bet Type Our Pick Best Odds
Spread Buccaneers +6.5 -110
Moneyline Buccaneers +240
Total Under 49.5 -105

 

While the Lions are more likely to win the game, betting on the Buccaneers moneyline is the best option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Dimers is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability as a sports bettor.

Our best NFL bets are based on world-class simulations and wagering expertise to serve you the best possible plays every week of the season.

Calling all football fans! If you are yet to sign up with DraftKings Sportsbook, today is the day! Click here to sign up, and then place a $5 wager on Tampa Bay vs. Detroit to receive $200 in bonus bets + a No Sweat SGP token every day of the playoffs, win or lose!

Buccaneers vs. Lions TD Scorers

Who will score the first touchdown in Buccaneers vs. Lions?

According to our model, Tampa Bay's Mike Evans is most likely to score the first TD in Buccaneers vs. Lions.

Our projections give Evans a 14.1% chance of scoring the first TD at Ford Field, while the Buccaneers WR is a 58.2% chance of reaching the end zone at any point in the game.

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Player First TD Probability
Mike Evans 14.1%
Rachaad White 7.7%
Baker Mayfield 5.7%
Chris Godwin 4.4%
Chase Edmonds 4.0%

Detroit Lions

Player First TD Probability
David Montgomery 13.8%
Amon-Ra St. Brown 12.0%
Jahmyr Gibbs 11.7%
Sam LaPorta 6.8%
Jameson Williams 3.1%

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Player Anytime TD Probability
Mike Evans 58.2%
Rachaad White 37.4%
Baker Mayfield 29.5%
Chris Godwin 21.9%
Chase Edmonds 21.0%

Detroit Lions

Player Anytime TD Probability
David Montgomery 57.5%
Amon-Ra St. Brown 51.8%
Jahmyr Gibbs 51.2%
Sam LaPorta 32.5%
Jameson Williams 15.7%

Buccaneers vs Lions Player Props

Here, you will find detailed projections for all of the key offensive players from the Buccaneers and Lions, including passing, rushing and receiving yards.

Buccaneers vs. Lions Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Buccaneers' Baker Mayfield is projected for 257 passing yards. The Lions' Jared Goff is expected to throw for a whopping 293 yards.

Player Proj. Pass Yards
Baker Mayfield (TB) 257 yds
Jared Goff (DET) 293 yds

Buccaneers Rushing

Player Proj. Rush Yards
Rachaad White 75 yds
Chase Edmonds 19 yds
Baker Mayfield 11 yds

Lions Rushing

Player Proj. Rush Yards
David Montgomery 70 yds
Jahmyr Gibbs 63 yds
Jared Goff 7 yds

Buccaneers Receiving

Player Proj. Rec. Yards
Mike Evans 71 yds
Chris Godwin 51 yds
Cade Otton 28 yds
Rachaad White 27 yds
Trey Palmer 23 yds

Lions Receiving

Player Proj. Rec. Yards
Amon-Ra St. Brown 104 yds
Sam LaPorta 51 yds
Josh Reynolds 38 yds
Jameson Williams 25 yds
Jahmyr Gibbs 16 yds

Remember, our model updates often, so keep an eye on this page for the latest betting analysis ahead of the Buccaneers vs. Lions on Sunday January 21, 2024.

Bucs vs. Lions Game Information

The NFL Week 20 matchup between the Lions and Buccaneers at Ford Field is scheduled to start at 3:00PM ET.

 

Our full betting coverage of Buccaneers vs. Lions includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

How to Bet on Buccaneers vs. Lions

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Conclusion

This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on this week's Buccaneers vs. Lions clash, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

Dimers' picks are made thanks to 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While these Buccaneers vs. Lions picks can help you make informed decisions, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial arrangement with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee at no additional cost to you.

More on NFL

Stay well-informed with the latest NFL news and our data-led NFL picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our Super Bowl odds give you the latest predictions and the best available odds on the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC, and each division.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Sports Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver is a seasoned sports betting expert specializing in NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball and soccer, offering detailed game previews, best bets, props and futures articles.

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