NFL Super Bowl Prop Bets: 49ers vs. Chiefs, 2024

NFL prop bets are back for Super Bowl 58, with our best NFL player props here to assist you through the big game. After simulating this week's matchup thousands of times, we've diligently pinpointed the top 10 NFL player props for Super Bowl LVIII.

With the biggest game of the season here for you to digest and think about this week, we have your back. Our NFL player props are here to make your Super Bowl Sunday a whole lot easier, with our carefully curated NFL prop bets presented below in order of the largest edge.

Our team used a powerful predictive analytics model to find these NFL prop plays, so you can be sure that our featured picks represent the best NFL prop bets to make this Super Bowl.

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Best Prop Bets for NFL Super Bowl 58

There are plenty of betting choices when it comes to player props for this week, with players such as Isiah Pacheco, Deebo Samuel and Brock Purdy presenting value according to our expert model.

Our model has evaluated this week's player props and found ten strong bets for Niners vs. Chiefs, based on edges we have spotted.

Let's take a look at our top player prop picks for the games below.

Isiah Pacheco Under 2.5 Receptions (+130)

• Odds: +130
• Probability: 72.1%
• Edge: 28.6%
• Game: 49ers vs. Chiefs (6:30PM ET)

Our model has determined the best NFL prop bet for SB LVIII  between the 49ers and Chiefs, with Isiah Pacheco the player we are targetting. We recommend placing a bet on Isiah Pacheco Under 2.5 Receptions for Kansas City this week.

DimersBOT projects that Pacheco has a 72.1% chance of going under 2.5 rec on Sunday, which give us a nice 28.6% edge on the +130 odds currently available from DraftKings Sportsbook.

MORE: NFL Prop Bets Today

Deebo Samuel Under 16.5 Rushing Yards (+100)

• Odds: +100
• Probability: 77.5%
• Edge: 27.5%

Our model has discovered another +EV prop bet for this week's NFL playoffs finale, with Deebo Samuel in our sights. We recommend placing a bet on Deebo Samuel Under 16.5 Rushing Yards, with an edge of 27.5% available on the +100 odds available on DraftKings Sportsbook.

MORE: Check out our NFL picks for every game this week

Brock Purdy Under 12.5 Rushing Yards (+100)

• Odds: +100
• Probability: 69.7%
• Edge: 19.7%

According to our model, the next best player prop bet for this week features Brock Purdy in the huge 49ers vs. Chiefs clash. The recommended play here is on Brock Purdy Under 12.5 Rushing Yards, with DimersBOT detecting an edge of 19.7% on the +100 odds available on DraftKings Sportsbook.

MORE: Our model's Super Bowl odds update after each gameweek

Patrick Mahomes Under 26.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

• Odds: -115
• Probability: 73.2%
• Edge: 19.7%

The next NFL player prop we recommend playing sees Patrick Mahomes presenting value in the rushing yards prop market. We recommend placing a bet on Patrick Mahomes Under 26.5 Rushing Yards for Kansas City this week.

DimersBOT projects that Mahomes has a 73.2% chance of going under 26.5 rush yds this week, which give us a nice 19.7% edge on the -115 odds currently available from DraftKings Sportsbook.

Justin Watson Under 1.5 Receptions (-130)

• Odds: -130
• Probability: 73.8%
• Edge: 17.3%

According to our model, the next best player prop bet for this week's action features Justin Watson in the big game showdown. The recommended play here is on Justin Watson Under 1.5 Receptions, with DimersBOT detecting an edge of 17.3% on the +100 odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Isiah Pacheco Under 16.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

• Odds: -110
• Probability: 69.3%
• Edge: 16.9%

The next player our model is targeting is Isiah Pacheco of the Chiefs. The recommended play here is on Isiah Pacheco Under 16.5 Receiving Yards, with our supercomputer finding a nice edge of 16.9% on the -110 odds available with FanDuel Sportsbook.

George Kittle Over 47.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

• Odds: -110
• Probability: 69.2%
• Edge: 16.9%

Our model has found another +EV prop bet for this week's 2024 NFL Super Bowl action, with tight end George Kittle in our sights. We recommend placing a bet on George Kittle Over 47.5 Receiving Yards, with an edge of 16.9% available on the -110 odds available with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Isiah Pacheco Over 67.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

• Odds: -110
• Probability: 66.6%
• Edge: 14.2%

The next NFL player prop we recommend playing as part of your bets comes for the big game sees Isiah Pacheco presenting value in the rushing yards prop market. We recommend placing a bet on Isiah Pacheco Over 67.5 Rushing Yards this week.

DimersBOT projects that Isiah Pacheco has a 72.8% chance of going over 3.5 rec in Week 22, which give us a tasty 13.6% edge on the -145 odds available right now at FanDuel Sportsbook.

George Kittle Over 3.5 Receptions (-145)

• Odds: -145
• Probability: 72.8%
• Edge: 13.6%

According to our model, the next best player prop bet for this weekis again on George Kittle. The recommended play here is on George Kittle Over 3.5 Receptions, with DimersBOT detecting an edge of 13.6% on the -145 odds available on DraftKings Sportsbook.

Christian McCaffrey Over 33.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

• Odds: -110
• Probability: 64.3%
• Edge: 11.9%

With an edge of 11.9% detected by our model, the 10th prop of the week sees us taking Christian McCaffrey Over 33.5 Receiving Yards. According to our model, this Christian McCaffrey prop has a 64.3% chance of hitting in the 49ers vs. Chiefs Super Bowl game. For the best odds for this play, head to FanDuel Sportsbook, where there is -110 avaialable for you to take.

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This article is part of our NFL player props and NFL best bets series.

For more NFL betting content, we have NFL trends for every game, as well as daily NFL betting news and the latest Super Bowl odds and predictions.

Make Informed NFL Prop Betting Decisions: Super Bowl 2024

At Dimers.com, we take the responsibility of providing NFL prop betting picks very seriously, especially when considering the implications of gambling and the potential impact on our users' financial well-being and quality of life.

While we strive to provide accurate and insightful betting advice for prop bettors, we always recommend that our users exercise caution and conduct their own research before using our NFL prop picks or any other betting advice, as ultimately, it's up to each individual to make informed decisions that align with their personal values and goals. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

This prop betting preview has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NFL props for the entire playoffs, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.