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South Alabama vs. Texas State prediction: Why Texas State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [12/20/2025]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get South Alabama vs Texas State predictions for college basketball Saturday.

South Alabama-Texas State Predictions and Game Preview.
South Alabama vs. Texas State men's college basketball prediction for Saturday, December 20, 2025.

Texas State will face South Alabama in men's college basketball action at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center on Saturday, starting at 3:30 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Texas State as the most likely winner of the South Alabama vs. Texas State game.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

South Alabama vs. Texas State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NCAA basketball matchup between South Alabama and Texas State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Texas State a 61% chance of defeating South Alabama. Our predicted final score has Texas State winning 71-68.

According to our model, South Alabama (+3.5) has a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 136.5-point over/under has a 55% chance of going over.

 

South Alabama vs. Texas State odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type South Alabama Texas State
Spread +3.5 (-110) -3.5 (-105)
Moneyline +146 -170
Total o136.5 (-108) u136.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

South Alabama vs. Texas State picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread South Alabama +3.5 -110
Moneyline Texas State -170
Total Over 136.5 -108

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is South Alabama +3.5 at the spread.

 

South Alabama vs. Texas State game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's men's college basketball game between Texas State and South Alabama at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center is scheduled to begin at 3:30 PM ET.

  • Who: South Alabama vs. Texas State
  • Date: Saturday, December 20, 2025
  • Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30PM PT
  • Venue: Strahan Arena at the University Events Center

Conclusion

We predict Texas State, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat South Alabama on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate South Alabama vs. Texas State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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