South Alabama vs. Texas State prediction: Why Texas State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [12/20/2025]

Men's college basketball action continues on Saturday at 3:30 PM ET as South Alabama takes on Texas State in men's college basketball action at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model gives Texas State a slight edge with a 53% win probability over South Alabama.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's South Alabama vs. Texas State matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

South Alabama vs. Texas State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NCAA basketball matchup between South Alabama and Texas State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Texas State a 53% chance of defeating South Alabama. Our predicted final score has Texas State winning 70-69.

According to our model, South Alabama (+1.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 138.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

South Alabama vs. Texas State odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

South Alabama vs. Texas State picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: