May 17, 2026
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Read Article Storm vs. Fever prediction: Caitlin Clark projected to score 17 points in Sunday's WNBA matchup [5/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Seattle Storm vs Indiana Fever predictions for WNBA Sunday.
The Indiana Fever and Seattle Storm will lock horns in the WNBA at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Sunday, with tipoff at 6:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Fever as the most likely winner of the Storm vs. Fever game.
The Fever, with the likes of Kelsey Mitchell, Caitlin Clark and Aliyah Boston, will face off against the Storm, whose lineup includes Flau'jae Johnson, Natisha Hiedeman and Stefanie Dolson.
Clark, the Fever's No. 1 pick in the 2024 WNBA draft, is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 17 points and 3 threes.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Storm vs. Fever prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's WNBA matchup between the Storm and Fever, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Fever an 85% chance of beating the Storm.
According to our model, the Storm (+11.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 175.5-point over/under has a 60% chance of staying under.
Storm vs. Fever odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Storm | Fever |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +11.5 (-105) | -11.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +470 | -625 |
| Total | o175.5 (-112) | u175.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Storm vs. Fever picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Storm +11.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Fever | -625 |
| Total | Under 175.5 | -105 |
According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 175.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Storm vs. Fever player props
Looking for Seattle vs. Indiana WNBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Flau'jae Johnson is expected to lead the Storm with 12 points, 4 rebounds and 2 assists, while Kelsey Mitchell is projected to have 21 points, 2 rebounds and 3 assists for the Fever.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's WNBA first basket picks.
Storm prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Storm are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Johnson | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 25 |
| N. Hiedeman | 10 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 22 |
| Stefanie Dolson | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 |
| G. VanSlooten | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 |
| Jade Melbourne | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 17 |
Fever prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fever:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell | 21 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 33 |
| Caitlin Clark | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 45 |
| Aliyah Boston | 12 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 30 |
| M. Billings | 11 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 27 |
| S. Cunningham | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 |
Storm vs. Fever game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's game between the Fever and Storm at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to start at 6:00 PM ET.
- Who: Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever
- Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026
- Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Conclusion
We predict the Fever, with an 85% win probability, will likely beat the Storm in Sunday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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