Seattle Sounders vs. Portland Timbers prediction, odds, MLS picks [7/16/2026]
Get Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers predictions for MLS Thursday.
MLS action continues on Thursday at 10:30 PM ET as Portland squares off with Seattle at Lumen Field.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven MLS model projects Seattle as the most likely winner of the Seattle vs. Portland game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
Seattle Sounders vs. Portland Timbers prediction: Who will win?
Our independent predictive model indicates a 62.9% chance of Seattle winning, a 17.2% chance for Portland, and a 19.9% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 61.8% chance of going over, according to our model.
Seattle Sounders vs. Portland Timbers odds
We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Seattle | Portland | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -200 | +500 | +400 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -250 | +188 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Seattle Sounders vs. Portland Timbers picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Portland @ +500 via DraftKings
- Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +188 via Bet365
According to our best MLS bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Seattle Sounders vs. Portland Timbers: Correct score predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-1 Seattle win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| SEA 2-1 POT | 9.9% |
| SEA 2-0 POT | 9.5% |
| SEA 1-1 POT | 9.2% |
Seattle Sounders vs. Portland Timbers game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's action between Seattle and Portland in MLS at Lumen Field is scheduled to start at 10:30 PM ET.
- Who: Seattle Sounders vs. Portland Timbers
- Date: Thursday, July 16, 2026
- Time: 10:30 PM ET/7:30PM PT
- Venue: Lumen Field
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Seattle has a 62.9% win probability on Thursday, Portland has a 17.2% win probability, and there is a 19.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Continue reading with Dimers Pro
Join now to unlock this article and get full access to our predictions and betting tools. Cancel anytime.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
