Toronto vs. Montreal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Toronto vs. Montreal MLS match on July 16, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Toronto
0
:
0
Saputo Stadium
Montreal
Saputo Stadium
MontrealMTL
Score Summary
TorontoTOR
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Montreal
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Toronto
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: O. Escobar replaces N. Streit
  2. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: O. Graham-Roache replaces D. Rios
  3. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: D. Mihailovic replaces D. Etienne
  4. 69'
    Yellow Card
    D. Salloi (Toronto FC) cautioned
  5. 64'
    Yellow Card
    D. Pereira (CF Montreal) cautioned
  6. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: M. Henry replaces T. Corbeanu
  7. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: J. Vilsaint replaces K. Franklin
  8. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: F. Herbers replaces V. Loturi
  9. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: D. Pereira replaces S. Piette

Toronto vs. Montreal: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Toronto vs. Montreal
  • Date: Thursday, July 16, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Saputo Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Toronto +220, Montreal +135, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+126)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Toronto: 31.7%
  • Montreal: 44.8%
  • Draw: 23.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Toronto 1-1 Montreal (10.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Toronto vs. Montreal? Prediction & correct score

Montreal is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 44.8%.

The most likely correct score is Toronto 1-1 Montreal.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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