Portland vs. Seattle Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Portland vs. Seattle MLS match on July 16, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS sport icon
MLS
Portland
5
1
Lumen Field
Seattle
Lumen Field
SeattleSEA
Score Summary
PortlandPOR
H. Dotson (87')
Soccer ball icon
K. Kelsy (19')
Soccer ball icon
K. Miller (56')
Soccer ball icon
C. Bassett (60')
Soccer ball icon
K. Kelsy (63')
Soccer ball icon
A. Aravena (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Seattle
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Portland
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Portland Timbers: I. Smith replaces Antony
  2. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Portland Timbers by A. Aravena, assisted by D. Da Costa
    5-1
  3. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Portland Timbers: F. Mora replaces K. Kelsy
  4. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Portland Timbers: J. Ortiz replaces D. Chara
  5. 87'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Seattle Sounders by H. Dotson, assisted by A. Rusnak
    4-1
  6. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Seattle Sounders: S. Hawkins replaces A. Lopez
  7. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Portland Timbers: A. Aravena replaces A. Lassiter
  8. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Portland Timbers: J. Caicedo replaces C. Bassett
  9. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Seattle Sounders: O. De Rosario replaces S. Brunell
  10. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Seattle Sounders: P. Kingston replaces K. Kossa-Rienzi
  11. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Seattle Sounders: P. Arriola replaces J. Ferreira
  12. 63'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Portland Timbers by K. Kelsy
    4-0
  13. 60'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Portland Timbers by C. Bassett, assisted by D. Da Costa
    3-0
  14. 56'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Portland Timbers by K. Miller, assisted by B. Bye
    2-0
  15. 49'
    Yellow Card
    P. Rothrock (Seattle Sounders) cautioned
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Seattle Sounders: D. Musovski replaces J. Morris
  17. 41'
    Yellow Card
    J. Ragen (Seattle Sounders) cautioned
  18. 19'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Portland Timbers by K. Kelsy, assisted by J. Fory
    1-0

Portland vs. Seattle: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Portland vs. Seattle
  • Date: Thursday, July 16, 2026
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Lumen Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Portland +460, Seattle -179, draw +380
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-225/+170)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Portland: 17.7%
  • Seattle: 62.2%
  • Draw: 20.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Portland 1-2 Seattle (9.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Portland vs. Seattle? Prediction & correct score

Seattle is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 62.2%.

The most likely correct score is Portland 1-2 Seattle.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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