Nashville SC vs. Sporting Kansas City prediction, odds, MLS picks [10/14/2026]

Nashville will take on Sporting KC in MLS action at Geodis Park on Wednesday, commencing at 8:30 PM ET.

Dimers' proven MLS model projects Nashville as the most likely winner in this Nashville vs. Sporting KC prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Nashville SC vs. Sporting Kansas City prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Wednesday's MLS game between Nashville and Sporting KC, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model suggests an 81.3% chance of Nashville winning, a 7.0% chance for Sporting KC, and an 11.7% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 74.9% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Sporting KC +1011, Nashville -400
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-308/+285)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Nashville @ -400 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -308 via Novig

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Nashville to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 3-0 Nashville win being the most probable:

• Nashville 3-0 Sporting KC (9.6% probability)
• Nashville 2-0 Sporting KC (9.4%)
• Nashville 5-0 Sporting KC (8.5%)

Game info & kickoff details

Wednesday's MLS matchup between Nashville and Sporting KC in MLS at Geodis Park is scheduled to begin at 8:30 PM ET.

• Who: Nashville SC vs. Sporting Kansas City
• Date: Wednesday, October 14, 2026
• Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
• Venue: Geodis Park

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Nashville has an 81.3% win probability on Wednesday, Sporting KC has a 7.0% win probability, and there is an 11.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.