Los Angeles FC vs. Austin FC prediction, odds, MLS picks [10/14/2026]

MLS action continues on Wednesday at 10:30 PM ET as Austin squares off with LAFC at BMO Stadium.

Dimers' proven MLS model projects LAFC as the most likely winner in this LAFC vs. Austin prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Los Angeles FC vs. Austin FC prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Wednesday's MLS matchup between LAFC and Austin, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model indicates a 65.7% chance of LAFC winning, a 14.4% chance for Austin, and a 19.9% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 56.2% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Austin +614, LAFC -212
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-170/+163)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Austin @ +614 via Novig
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +163 via Polymarket

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-0 LAFC win being the most probable:

• LAFC 2-0 Austin (11.5% probability)
• LAFC 1-0 Austin (11.1%)
• LAFC 2-1 Austin (9.8%)

Game info & kickoff details

Wednesday's MLS action between LAFC and Austin in MLS at BMO Stadium is scheduled to start at 10:30 PM ET.

• Who: Los Angeles FC vs. Austin FC
• Date: Wednesday, October 14, 2026
• Time: 10:30 PM ET/7:30PM PT
• Venue: BMO Stadium

Conclusion

According to our computer model, LAFC has a 65.7% win probability on Wednesday, Austin has a 14.4% win probability, and there is a 19.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.