Real Salt Lake vs. San Jose Earthquakes prediction, odds, MLS picks [10/14/2026]

Salt Lake will face San Jose in MLS action at America First Field on Wednesday, beginning at 9:30 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced MLS model projects Salt Lake as the most likely winner in this Salt Lake vs. San Jose prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Real Salt Lake vs. San Jose Earthquakes prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Wednesday's MLS matchup between Salt Lake and San Jose, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model suggests a 50.0% chance of Salt Lake winning, a 27.7% chance for San Jose, and a 22.3% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 63.8% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: San Jose +270, Salt Lake +104
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-194/+186)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Salt Lake @ +104 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +186 via Polymarket

According to our best MLS bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Salt Lake 1-1 San Jose (9.8% probability)
• Salt Lake 2-1 San Jose (9.4%)
• Salt Lake 1-0 San Jose (7.1%)

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Wednesday's MLS game between Salt Lake and San Jose in MLS at America First Field is scheduled to begin at 9:30 PM ET.

• Who: Real Salt Lake vs. San Jose Earthquakes
• Date: Wednesday, October 14, 2026
• Time: 9:30 PM ET/6:30PM PT
• Venue: America First Field

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Salt Lake has a 50.0% win probability on Wednesday, San Jose has a 27.7% win probability, and there is a 22.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.