D.C. United vs. NY Red Bulls prediction, odds, MLS picks [10/14/2026]

D.C. United will take on NY Red Bulls in MLS action at Audi Field on Wednesday, commencing at 7:30 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced MLS model projects D.C. United as the most likely winner in this D.C. United vs. NY Red Bulls prediction.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

D.C. United vs. NY Red Bulls prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Wednesday's MLS matchup between D.C. United and NY Red Bulls, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model suggests a 45.7% chance of D.C. United winning, a 30.7% chance for NY Red Bulls, and a 23.5% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 59.0% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: NY Red Bulls +270, D.C. United +100
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-186/+170)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: NY Red Bulls @ +270 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +170 via Polymarket

According to our best MLS bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• D.C. United 1-1 NY Red Bulls (10.7% probability)
• D.C. United 2-1 NY Red Bulls (9.2%)
• D.C. United 1-0 NY Red Bulls (7.8%)

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Wednesday's MLS game between D.C. United and NY Red Bulls in MLS at Audi Field is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: D.C. United vs. NY Red Bulls
• Date: Wednesday, October 14, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Audi Field

Conclusion

According to our computer model, D.C. United has a 45.7% win probability on Wednesday, NY Red Bulls have a 30.7% win probability, and there is a 23.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.