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Giants vs. Dodgers prediction: Dodgers favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [5/11/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get San Francisco Giants vs Los Angeles Dodgers predictions for MLB Monday.
MLB action continues on Monday at 10:10 PM ET as the San Francisco Giants square off with the Los Angeles Dodgers at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.
The Dodgers will have Roki Sasaki (1-3, 5.96 ERA) as their starting pitcher, up against Trevor McDonald (1-0, 1.29 ERA) for the Giants.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Dodgers as the most likely winner of the Giants vs. Dodgers game.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Giants vs. Dodgers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's MLB game between the Giants and Dodgers, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Dodgers a 63% chance of defeating the Giants.
According to our model, the Giants (+1.5) have a 54% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of nine runs has a 55% chance of going over.
Giants vs. Dodgers odds [5/11/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Giants | Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-126) | -1.5 (+115) |
| Moneyline | +157 | -184 |
| Total | o9 (-110) | u9 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Giants vs. Dodgers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Dodgers -1.5 | +115 |
| Moneyline | Dodgers | -184 |
| Total | Over 9 | -110 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 9 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Giants vs. Dodgers game-day updates and essential details
Monday's MLB action between the Dodgers and Giants at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium is scheduled to begin at 10:10 PM ET.
- Who: San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- Date: Monday, May 11, 2026
- Time: 10:10 PM ET/7:10PM PT
- Venue: UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Conclusion
We predict the Dodgers, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Giants in Monday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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