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Sacramento State vs. Idaho State prediction: Why Idaho State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/1/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Sacramento State vs Idaho State predictions for college basketball Thursday.
Men's college basketball action continues on New Year's Day at 9:00 PM ET as Sacramento State looks to defy the odds against Idaho State in men's college basketball action at Reed Gym.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model projects Idaho State as the most likely winner of the Sacramento State vs. Idaho State game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Sacramento State vs. Idaho State prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NCAA basketball game between Sacramento State and Idaho State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Idaho State a 79% chance of defeating Sacramento State. Our predicted final score has Idaho State winning 79-70.
According to our model, Sacramento State (+9.5) has a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 152.5-point over/under has a 56% chance of staying under.
Sacramento State vs. Idaho State odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sacramento State | Idaho State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +9.5 (-118) | -9.5 (+100) |
| Moneyline | +375 | -450 |
| Total | o152.5 (-115) | u152.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sacramento State vs. Idaho State picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sacramento State +9.5 | -118 |
| Moneyline | Sacramento State | +375 |
| Total | Under 152.5 | -105 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 152.5 total points.
Sacramento State vs. Idaho State game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's men's college basketball action between Idaho State and Sacramento State at Reed Gym is scheduled to begin at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Sacramento State vs. Idaho State
- Date: Thursday, January 1, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Reed Gym
Conclusion
We predict Idaho State, with a 79% win probability, will likely beat Sacramento State on New Year's Day.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sacramento State vs. Idaho State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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