Sacramento State vs. Idaho State prediction: Why Idaho State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/1/2026]

Idaho State and Sacramento State are scheduled to meet in men's college basketball action at Reed Gym on New Year's Day, with tipoff at 9:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects Idaho State as the most likely winner of the Sacramento State vs. Idaho State game.

This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Sacramento State vs. Idaho State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NCAA basketball matchup between Sacramento State and Idaho State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Idaho State an 84% chance of defeating Sacramento State. Our predicted final score has Idaho State winning 79-69.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and Sacramento State and Idaho State each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 150.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.

Sacramento State vs. Idaho State odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sacramento State vs. Idaho State picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: