Kings vs. Nuggets prediction: Denver favored to win Saturday's NBA matchup [11/22/2025]

The Denver Nuggets will face the Sacramento Kings in NBA action at Ball Arena on Saturday, beginning at 10:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Nuggets as the most likely winner of the Kings vs. Nuggets game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Nuggets lineup will feature stars like Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray and Cameron Johnson, while the Kings will rely on Zach LaVine, DeMar DeRozan and Russell Westbrook.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Kings vs. Nuggets prediction: Who will win and cover?

As part of Dimers' NBA predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, spread, and over/under probabilities for Saturday's clash between the Kings and Nuggets.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Nuggets a 79% chance of beating the Kings. Our predicted final score has the Nuggets winning 123-114.

According to our model, the Kings (+10.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 239.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.

Kings vs. Nuggets odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Kings	Nuggets
Spread	+10.5 (-105)	-10.5 (-115)
Moneyline	+420	-535
Total	o239.5 (-115)	u239.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Kings vs. Nuggets picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Kings +10.5	-105
Moneyline	Kings	+420
Total	Under 239.5	-105

According to our best NBA bets for Saturday, the top play to make on this game is Kings +10.5 at the spread.

Kings vs. Nuggets player props

NBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on the Kings vs. Nuggets matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Ball Arena.

Zach LaVine is expected to lead the Kings with 19 points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists, while Nikola Jokic is projected to have 28 points, 12 rebounds and 11 assists for the Nuggets.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.

Kings prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Kings are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Zach LaVine	19	3	3	3	32
DeMar DeRozan	19	3	4	1	33
R. Westbrook	14	6	6	2	36
Keegan Murray	12	5	2	2	26
Dennis Schroder	12	3	5	1	27

Nuggets prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Nuggets:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Nikola Jokic	28	12	11	2	69
Jamal Murray	23	4	6	3	44
Cameron Johnson	17	4	3	2	32
Tim Hardaway	13	3	2	3	22
Peyton Watson	12	5	2	1	28

Kings vs. Nuggets game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's matchup between the Nuggets and Kings at Ball Arena is scheduled to commence at 10:00PM ET.

• Who: Sacramento Kings vs. Denver Nuggets
• Date: Saturday, November 22, 2025
• Time: 10:00PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Ball Arena

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Conclusion

We predict the Nuggets, with a 79% win probability, will likely beat the Kings on Saturday, with Nikola Jokic projected for a game-high 69 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Kings vs. Nuggets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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