NBA picks today: Saturday's best bets include Grizzlies vs. Mavericks play [11/22/2025]

Today’s NBA picks for November 22, 2025 are here, with Grizzlies vs. Mavericks and Kings vs. Nuggets among the top plays identified by our model across Saturday’s NBA slate.

Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, scanning the latest basketball odds to discover legitimate betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.

List of NBA picks tonight [11/22, updated 8:03PM ET]

Below, you’ll find today’s best basketball bets, ranked by edge for Saturday, November 22, 2025.

Mavericks ML (-105)

• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 55.3%
• Matchup: Grizzlies vs. Mavericks (8:30PM ET, Saturday)

Our model has identified value on Mavericks to defeat Grizzlies at -105 odds. A 55.3% probability produces an edge of 4.0%, making this the strongest play for today's NBA slate.

Kings vs. Nuggets under 239.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 54.4%
• Matchup: Kings vs. Nuggets (10:00PM ET, Saturday)

Kings vs. Nuggets under 239.5 points carries a 3.1% edge and a probability of 54.4% at -105 odds, according to our model.

Grizzlies -1.5 (+100)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 52.9%
• Matchup: Grizzlies vs. Mavericks (8:30PM ET, Saturday)

Grizzlies -1.5 vs. Mavericks at +100 odds shows a 2.9% edge, supported by a 52.9% probability in simulations.

Nets ML (+750)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 15.7%
• Matchup: Nets vs. Raptors (6:00PM ET, Sunday)

A 3.9% edge and 15.7% probability make Nets at the moneyline at a value play in the Nets vs. Raptors matchup, per our model.

76ers ML (-118)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 57.9%
• Matchup: Heat vs. 76ers (1:00PM ET, Sunday)

76ers ML at -118 odds presents a 3.7% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 57.9%.

Kings vs. Nuggets under 239.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 54.4%
• Matchup: Kings vs. Nuggets (10:00PM ET, Saturday)

Our model finds value on under 239.5 points in Kings vs. Nuggets at -105 odds, supported by an edge of 3.1%.

Grizzlies -1.5 (+100)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 52.9%
• Matchup: Grizzlies vs. Mavericks (8:30PM ET, Saturday) Our model has uncovered value on Grizzlies -1.5 at +100 odds. A 52.9% probability produces a 2.9% edge, making this a strong play for today's NBA action.

Kings +11.5 (-110)

• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 54.5%
• Matchup: Kings vs. Nuggets (10:00PM ET, Saturday)

A 2.2% edge on a 54.5% probability makes Kings +11.5 at -110 odds a solid value play in today's Kings vs. Nuggets matchup.

Lakers vs. Jazz under 244.5 points (-110)

• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 54.5%
• Matchup: Lakers vs. Jazz (8:00PM ET, Sunday)

Our model projects value on under 244.5 points at -110 odds. A 54.5% probability produces a 2.1% edge, making the under the favorable side in Saturday’s matchup.

NBA best bets summary: Saturday, 11/22/2025

As of 8:03PM ET, here are our top NBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Grizzlies vs. Mavericks	Mavericks ML	-105 @ BetMGM	4.0%	55.3%
Kings vs. Nuggets	Under 239.5 Points	-105 @ BetMGM	3.1%	54.4%
Grizzlies vs. Mavericks	Grizzlies -1.5	+100 @ BetMGM	2.9%	52.9%
Nets vs. Raptors	Nets ML	+750 @ DraftKings	3.9%	15.7%
Heat vs. 76ers	76ers ML	-118 @ FanDuel	3.7%	57.9%
Kings vs. Nuggets	Under 239.5 Points	-105 @ BetMGM	3.1%	54.4%
Grizzlies vs. Mavericks	Grizzlies -1.5	+100 @ BetMGM	2.9%	52.9%
Kings vs. Nuggets	Kings +11.5	-110 @ BetMGM	2.2%	54.5%
Lakers vs. Jazz	Under 244.5 Points	-110 @ BetMGM	2.1%	54.5%

List of upcoming NBA games to bet on [11/22/2025]

• Grizzlies vs. Mavericks (8:30PM ET, Saturday)
• Kings vs. Nuggets (10:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Heat vs. 76ers (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Nets vs. Raptors (6:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Magic vs. Celtics (6:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Clippers vs. Cavaliers (6:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Hornets vs. Hawks (6:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Trail Blazers vs. Thunder (7:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Lakers vs. Jazz (8:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Spurs vs. Suns (8:00PM ET, Sunday)

Conclusion

Our NBA best bets are locked and loaded for November 22, 2025, featuring plays such as Mavericks ML and under 239.5 points in the Kings vs. Nuggets matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate NBA insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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