Rafael Jodar vs. Alex de Minaur prediction, odds, picks for ATP Madrid Open 2026

Rafael Jodar and Alex de Minaur will meet in the round of 64 of the ATP Madrid Open event on Friday.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Alex de Minaur as the most likely winner of the Jodar vs. de Minaur match.

This article offers a closer look at Friday's match, including best bets and picks.

Jodar vs. de Minaur prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's Jodar-de Minaur men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives de Minaur a 51% chance of defeating Jodar at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

Additionally, de Minaur has a 51% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the bookmakers have got it right with the -0.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering, while the under 22.5 games has a 51% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Rafael Jodar vs. Alex de Minaur odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Jodar vs. de Minaur picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: